Prediction: Internacional vs Gremio
Team pages: Internacional · Gremio
- Internacional0-0Gremio
- Internacional1-1Gremio
- Gremio3-0Internacional
- Internacional4-2Gremio
- Internacional2-3Gremio
- Gremio1-1Internacional
| Internacional | Draw | Gremio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 30% | 29% |
| Market | 41% | 30% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gremio (rating 1450 vs 1498).
- H2H favours Gremio: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Internacional | Gremio | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.5 | 3.2 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.3 | 4.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Internacional 1–3–2 Gremio
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Brazil Serie A | Internacional | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Gremio |
| 08/03/26 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho | Internacional | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Gremio |
| 01/03/26 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho | Gremio | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Internacional |
| 26/01/26 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho | Internacional | 4-2 HT 1-1 | Gremio |
| 21/09/25 Brazil Serie A | Internacional | 2-3 HT 2-2 | Gremio |
| 20/04/25 Brazil Serie A | Gremio | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Internacional |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Internacional
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Remo Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | Palmeiras Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 07/08 | Corinthians Copa do Brasil |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 03/08 | Corinthians Copa do Brasil |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 30/07 | Flamengo Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Athletico Paranaense Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 23/07 | Cruzeiro Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 31/05 | Bragantino Brazil Serie A |
0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 23/05 | Vitoria Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Vasco da Gama Brazil Serie A |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
Gremio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Atletico Mineiro Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 08/08 | Sao Paulo Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 06/08 | Mirassol Copa do Brasil |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 02/08 | Mirassol Copa do Brasil |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 31/07 | Bolivar Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 7 | L |
| 26/07 | Fluminense Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 24/07 | Bolivar Copa Sudamericana |
2-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | Mirassol Brazil Serie A |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 12/07 | Cruzeiro Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 05/07 | Chapecoense America Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Internacional vs Gremio?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Internacional win (41%). Probabilities: Internacional 41%, draw 30%, Gremio 29%.
How many goals are expected in Internacional vs Gremio?
The model expects 2.38 goals (Internacional 1.32 · Gremio 1.06), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Internacional vs Gremio?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.