Prediction: Vasco da Gama vs Vitoria
Team pages: Vasco da Gama · Vitoria
- Vitoria1-0Vasco da Gama
- Vasco da Gama4-3Vitoria
- Vitoria2-1Vasco da Gama
- Vitoria0-1Vasco da Gama
- Vasco da Gama2-1Vitoria
- Vasco da Gama0-3Vitoria
| Vasco da Gama | Draw | Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 27% | 17% |
| Market | 56% | 27% | 18% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vasco da Gama | Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.1 | 2.1 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 4.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vasco da Gama 3–0–3 Vitoria
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/26 Brazil Serie A | Vitoria | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Vasco da Gama |
| 05/10/25 Brazil Serie A | Vasco da Gama | 4-3 HT 1-2 | Vitoria |
| 10/05/25 Brazil Serie A | Vitoria | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Vasco da Gama |
| 01/09/24 Brazil Serie A | Vitoria | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Vasco da Gama |
| 12/05/24 Brazil Serie A | Vasco da Gama | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Vitoria |
| 11/11/21 Brazil Serie B | Vasco da Gama | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Vitoria |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vasco da Gama
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Olimpia Asuncion Copa Sudamericana |
2-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 16/08 | Santos Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 14/08 | Olimpia Asuncion Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 09/08 | EC Bahia Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 06/08 | Fluminense Copa do Brasil |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 01/08 | Fluminense Copa do Brasil |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 30/07 | Independiente Medellin Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | Mirassol Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 23/07 | Independiente Medellin Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 17/07 | Vitoria Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
Vitoria
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Botafogo Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 10/08 | Flamengo Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 07/08 | Athletico Paranaense Copa do Brasil |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 04/08 | Athletico Paranaense Copa do Brasil |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 30/07 | Palmeiras Brazil Serie A |
0-2 | 0-4 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 27/07 | Remo Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 24/07 | Botafogo Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 17/07 | Vasco da Gama Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 06/06 | Fortaleza Brazil Copa Nordeste |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 03/06 | Fortaleza Brazil Copa Nordeste |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vasco da Gama vs Vitoria?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Vasco da Gama win (56%). Probabilities: Vasco da Gama 56%, draw 27%, Vitoria 17%.
How many goals are expected in Vasco da Gama vs Vitoria?
The model expects 2.36 goals (Vasco da Gama 1.58 · Vitoria 0.78), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Vasco da Gama vs Vitoria?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.