Prediction: Palmeiras vs Santos
Team pages: Palmeiras · Santos
- Palmeiras1-1Santos
- Palmeiras1-0Santos
- Santos1-0Palmeiras
- Palmeiras2-0Santos
- Santos1-2Palmeiras
- Palmeiras2-0Santos
| Palmeiras | Draw | Santos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 25% | 14% |
| Market | 62% | 23% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Palmeiras: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Palmeiras | Santos | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1 | 1.7 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.2 | 2.6 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.4 | 4.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Palmeiras 4–1–1 Santos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Brazil Serie A | Palmeiras | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Santos |
| 14/01/26 Brazil Campeonato Paulista | Palmeiras | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Santos |
| 16/11/25 Brazil Serie A | Santos | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Palmeiras |
| 07/11/25 Brazil Serie A | Palmeiras | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Santos |
| 23/01/25 Brazil Campeonato Paulista | Santos | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Palmeiras |
| 07/04/24 Brazil Campeonato Paulista | Palmeiras | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Santos |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Palmeiras
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Cerro Porteno Copa Libertadores |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Fluminense Brazil Serie A |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 13/08 | Cerro Porteno Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 09/08 | Internacional Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 06/08 | Fortaleza Copa do Brasil |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 02/08 | Fortaleza Copa do Brasil |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 30/07 | Vitoria Brazil Serie A |
2-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 27/07 | Atletico Mineiro Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 23/07 | Coritiba Brazil Serie A |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Chapecoense Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Santos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Macara Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 16/08 | Vasco da Gama Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 14/08 | Macara Copa Sudamericana |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 09/08 | Athletico Paranaense Brazil Serie A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 05/08 | Remo Copa do Brasil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 02/08 | Remo Copa do Brasil |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 29/07 | UCV Copa Sudamericana |
1-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | Chapecoense Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 7 | D |
| 22/07 | UCV Copa Sudamericana |
1-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 17/07 | Botafogo Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Palmeiras vs Santos?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Palmeiras win (61%). Probabilities: Palmeiras 61%, draw 24%, Santos 14%.
How many goals are expected in Palmeiras vs Santos?
The model expects 2.47 goals (Palmeiras 1.75 · Santos 0.72), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Palmeiras vs Santos?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.