Prediction: Cruzeiro vs Atletico Mineiro
Team pages: Cruzeiro · Atletico Mineiro
- Cruzeiro1-3Atletico Mineiro
- Cruzeiro1-0Atletico Mineiro
- Atletico Mineiro2-1Cruzeiro
- Atletico Mineiro1-1Cruzeiro
- Cruzeiro2-0Atletico Mineiro
- Atletico Mineiro0-2Cruzeiro
| Cruzeiro | Draw | Atletico Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 32% | 20% |
| Market | 49% | 29% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atletico Mineiro (rating 1533 vs 1583).
- H2H favours Cruzeiro: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cruzeiro | Atletico Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1 | 1.4 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 6.3 | 2.3 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cruzeiro 3–1–2 Atletico Mineiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Brazil Serie A | Cruzeiro | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Atletico Mineiro |
| 08/03/26 Brazil Campeonato Mineiro | Cruzeiro | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico Mineiro |
| 25/01/26 Brazil Campeonato Mineiro | Atletico Mineiro | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Cruzeiro |
| 16/10/25 Brazil Serie A | Atletico Mineiro | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Cruzeiro |
| 12/09/25 Copa do Brasil | Cruzeiro | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Atletico Mineiro |
| 28/08/25 Copa do Brasil | Atletico Mineiro | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Cruzeiro |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cruzeiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Flamengo Copa Libertadores |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 17/08 | Corinthians Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 13/08 | Flamengo Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | Mirassol Brazil Serie A |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 06/08 | Chapecoense Copa do Brasil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 7 | W |
| 02/08 | Chapecoense Copa do Brasil |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 31/07 | Coritiba Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Botafogo Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 23/07 | Internacional Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 12/07 | Gremio Club Friendly List |
1-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
Atletico Mineiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Bragantino Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 16/08 | Gremio Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 13/08 | Bragantino Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Remo Brazil Serie A |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 05/08 | EC Juventude Copa do Brasil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | EC Juventude Copa do Brasil |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 27/07 | Palmeiras Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 22/07 | EC Bahia Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 31/05 | Vasco da Gama Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 28/05 | Academia Puerto Cabello Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cruzeiro vs Atletico Mineiro?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cruzeiro win (48%). Probabilities: Cruzeiro 48%, draw 31%, Atletico Mineiro 21%.
How many goals are expected in Cruzeiro vs Atletico Mineiro?
The model expects 1.93 goals (Cruzeiro 1.23 · Atletico Mineiro 0.7), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Cruzeiro vs Atletico Mineiro?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.