Football · England EFL Cup · 26/08, 20:45
Prediction: Tottenham vs Charlton
Team pages: Tottenham · Charlton
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.52Total
Tottenham2
Charlton0.52
1X2
Tottenham
Draw
Charlton
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Tottenham
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Charlton
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tottenham 1562 · Charlton 1532
| Tottenham | Draw | Charlton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 21% | 8% |
| Market | 74% | 17% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.52 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tottenham | Charlton | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.8 | 1.3 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 5.8 | 2 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.1 | 1.1 / 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tottenham
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | TSG Hoffenheim Elite Club Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 15/08 | TSG Hoffenheim Elite Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 08/08 | Getafe Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 01/08 | Chelsea Elite Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 29/07 | Sydney FC Elite Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 26/07 | Auckland FC Elite Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 22/07 | Milton Keynes Dons Elite Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 24/05 | Everton England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 19/05 | Chelsea England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 11/05 | Leeds England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 14 | 4 | D |
Charlton
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Derby England Championship |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Cheltenham England EFL Cup |
3-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | Reading UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 28/07 | Colchester UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | AFC Wimbledon UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | Gillingham UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 10/07 | NK Maribor Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 03/07 | Dartford UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Swansea England Championship |
0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Hull England Championship |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tottenham vs Charlton?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tottenham win (73%). Probabilities: Tottenham 73%, draw 18%, Charlton 9%.
How many goals are expected in Tottenham vs Charlton?
The model expects 2.52 goals (Tottenham 2 · Charlton 0.52), with a 61% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Tottenham vs Charlton?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.