Football · Northern Ireland Championship Women · 12/08, 20:30
Prediction: Bangor FC (W) vs St. James Swifts (W)
Team pages: Bangor FC (W) · St. James Swifts (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.42Total
Bangor FC (W)2.85
St. James Swifts (W)1.57
1X2
Bangor FC (W)
Draw
St. James Swifts (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Bangor FC (W)
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
St. James Swifts (W)
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bangor FC (W)
1–4
St. James Swifts (W)
(5 last)
- St. James Swifts (W)4-1Bangor FC (W)
- St. James Swifts (W)6-2Bangor FC (W)
- Bangor FC (W)2-3St. James Swifts (W)
- St. James Swifts (W)4-2Bangor FC (W)
- St. James Swifts (W)2-4Bangor FC (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bangor FC (W) 1536 · St. James Swifts (W) 1502
| Bangor FC (W) | Draw | St. James Swifts (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 18% | 19% |
| Market | 64% | 17% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.42 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours St. James Swifts (W): 4-0-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bangor FC (W) | St. James Swifts (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3 / 2.3 | 2.7 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 1 | 1.2 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/10/30% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.8 | 1.5 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.8 / 0 | 1.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bangor FC (W) 1–0–4 St. James Swifts (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/26 Northern Ireland Championship Women | St. James Swifts (W) | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Bangor FC (W) |
| 20/08/25 Northern Ireland Championship Women | St. James Swifts (W) | 6-2 HT 3-1 | Bangor FC (W) |
| 14/05/25 Northern Ireland Championship Women | Bangor FC (W) | 2-3 HT 1-2 | St. James Swifts (W) |
| 29/05/24 Northern Ireland Championship Women | St. James Swifts (W) | 4-2 HT 3-1 | Bangor FC (W) |
| 09/08/23 Northern Ireland Championship Women | St. James Swifts (W) | 2-4 HT 0-1 | Bangor FC (W) |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bangor FC (W) | St. James Swifts (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Greenisland (W) | 3-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Craigavon City (W) | 2-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Ballymena Utd (W) | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Ballymoney United (W) | 6-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Strabane Athletic (W) | 5-3 W | 2-3 L |
| Ballyclare Comrades (W) | 4-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Sion Swifts (W) | 1-4 L | 0-5 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Bangor FC (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bangor FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Greenisland (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 24/07 | Craigavon City (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 17/07 | Derry City (W) Northern Ireland Cup Women |
0-6 | 1-9 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 08/07 | Ballymena Utd (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 01/07 | Ballymoney United (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-0 | 6-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 17/06 | Strabane Athletic (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-0 | 5-3 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 03/06 | Ballyclare Comrades (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 13/05 | Mid Ulster (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
3-0 | 7-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 06/05 | St. James Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 29/04 | Sion Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | L |
St. James Swifts (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Strabane Athletic (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 29/07 | Ballymoney United (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/07 | Ballyclare Comrades (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 10/07 | Sion Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-5 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 03/06 | Greenisland (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 20/05 | Craigavon City (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
4-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 13/05 | Ballymena Utd (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 06/05 | Bangor FC (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
2-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 29/04 | Strabane Athletic (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
0-0 | 4-3 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 22/04 | Ballymoney United (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women |
1-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bangor FC (W) vs St. James Swifts (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bangor FC (W) win (64%). Probabilities: Bangor FC (W) 64%, draw 17%, St. James Swifts (W) 19%.
How many goals are expected in Bangor FC (W) vs St. James Swifts (W)?
The model expects 4.42 goals (Bangor FC (W) 2.85 · St. James Swifts (W) 1.57), with a 51% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Bangor FC (W) vs St. James Swifts (W)?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.