Football · Italy Serie D · 08/11, 15:00

Prediction: Atletico Lodigiani vs Polisportiva Ossese

Team pages: Atletico Lodigiani

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.76Total
Atletico Lodigiani1.21
Polisportiva Ossese1.55
1X2
28% 27% 44%
Atletico Lodigiani Draw Polisportiva Ossese
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico Lodigiani 0-3-7 (W-D-L)
LLDLLLLLDD
Polisportiva Ossese 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
WWDLDWDLDD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atletico Lodigiani 1418 · Polisportiva Ossese 1514
Atletico LodigianiDrawPolisportiva Ossese
Our model28%27%44%
Market29%27%44%
Estimated total (ours) 2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Polisportiva Ossese (rating 1418 vs 1514).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Atletico LodigianiPolisportiva Ossese
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 2.41.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.81 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/33/33%50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.82.7 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 04.3 / 0

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 10721 25723
2 Sambiase 10721 17823
3 Vibonese 10631 22921
4 Calcio Avola 1949 10613 161419
5 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 10532 16818
6 Milazzo 10514 111216
7 Igea Virtus 10433 232115
8 ASD Licata 10424 101714
9 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 9423 121014
10 Città di Gela 10343 11812
11 Nissa FC 10334 161412
12 Siracusa 10532 171011
13 Vigor Lamezia 10226 10188
14 ASD CastrumFavara 10226 11178
15 Modica 9216 7127
16 Trapani 10325 7146
17 ASD Ragusa 10037 9213
18 Enna Calcio 10037 4243

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAtletico LodigianiPolisportiva Ossese
Gelbison 1-1 D 1-2 L
US Venafro 1-1 D 1-1 D
Afragolese 1944 0-4 L 2-0 W
Sarnese 0-1 L 2-2 D
Unipomezia 1-3 L 0-2 L
ASD Trastevere 2-3 L 1-1 D
Certosa Vigor Campagnano 0-1 L 1-0 W
USD Latte Dolce 2-2 D 3-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 3 D 5 L 3 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Polisportiva Ossese (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atletico Lodigiani

LLDLLLLLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Gelbison
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
25/10 US Venafro
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
17/10 Afragolese 1944
Italy Serie D
– 0-4 –– L
11/10 Sarnese
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 52 L
04/10 Unipomezia
Italy Serie D
– 1-3 –– L
27/09 ASD Trastevere
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-3 52 L
20/09 Certosa Vigor Campagnano
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 13 L
16/09 USD Latte Dolce
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-2 46 D
12/09 Monastir Kosmoto
Italy Serie D
0-2 1-5 95 L
06/09 Cynthialbalonga
Italy Serie D
2-1 2-3 53 L

Polisportiva Ossese

WWDLDWDLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Paganese
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
25/10 Budoni
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-2 86 D
18/10 Gelbison
Italy Serie D
– 1-2 –– L
11/10 US Venafro
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-1 54 D
04/10 Afragolese 1944
Italy Serie D
2-0 2-0 56 W
27/09 Sarnese
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-2 64 D
20/09 Unipomezia
Italy Serie D
– 0-2 –– L
16/09 ASD Trastevere
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 24 D
12/09 Certosa Vigor Campagnano
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
05/09 USD Latte Dolce
Italy Serie D
1-0 3-0 52 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atletico Lodigiani vs Polisportiva Ossese?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Polisportiva Ossese win (44%). Probabilities: Atletico Lodigiani 28%, draw 27%, Polisportiva Ossese 44%.

How many goals are expected in Atletico Lodigiani vs Polisportiva Ossese?

The model expects 2.76 goals (Atletico Lodigiani 1.21 · Polisportiva Ossese 1.55), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Atletico Lodigiani vs Polisportiva Ossese?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.