Football · Italy Serie D · 15/11, 14:30
Prediction: Paganese vs Atletico Lodigiani
Team pages: Paganese · Atletico Lodigiani
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.16Total
Paganese1.87
Atletico Lodigiani1.29
1X2
Paganese
Draw
Atletico Lodigiani
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Paganese
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Atletico Lodigiani
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Paganese
1–1
Atletico Lodigiani
(2 last)
- Atletico Lodigiani3-1Paganese
- Paganese2-0Atletico Lodigiani
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Paganese | Atletico Lodigiani | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.4 | 1.1 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.7 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 17/50/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.8 | 2.3 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0 | 3.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Paganese 1–0–1 Atletico Lodigiani
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/02/25 Italy Serie D | Atletico Lodigiani | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Paganese |
| 23/10/24 Italy Serie D | Paganese | 2-0 | Atletico Lodigiani |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 26 |
| 3 | Vibonese | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 19 |
| 5 | Milazzo | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 19 |
| 6 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 18 |
| 7 | Igea Virtus | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 22 | 18 |
| 8 | Città di Gela | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 15 |
| 9 | Siracusa | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | ASD Licata | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 14 |
| 11 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | Nissa FC | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 12 |
| 13 | Modica | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 10 |
| 14 | Trapani | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 9 |
| 15 | Vigor Lamezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 8 |
| 16 | ASD CastrumFavara | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 8 |
| 17 | ASD Ragusa | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 3 |
| 18 | Enna Calcio | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 3 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Paganese | Atletico Lodigiani |
|---|---|---|
| Polisportiva Ossese | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| US Venafro | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Sarnese | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Gelbison | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| ASD Trastevere | 6-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Afragolese 1944 | 0-0 D | 0-4 L |
| USD Latte Dolce | 3-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 1 W 3 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paganese
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Sarrabus Ogliastra Italy Serie D |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 01/11 | Polisportiva Ossese Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 25/10 | Citta di Anagni Italy Serie D |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/10 | US Venafro Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 11/10 | Budoni Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 04/10 | Sarnese Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 27/09 | Gelbison Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | ASD Trastevere Italy Serie D |
4-1 | 6-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 16/09 | Afragolese 1944 Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 12/09 | USD Latte Dolce Italy Serie D |
2-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
Atletico Lodigiani
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Polisportiva Ossese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 01/11 | Gelbison Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 25/10 | US Venafro Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 17/10 | Afragolese 1944 Italy Serie D |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 11/10 | Sarnese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 04/10 | Unipomezia Italy Serie D |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 27/09 | ASD Trastevere Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | Certosa Vigor Campagnano Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 16/09 | USD Latte Dolce Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | Monastir Kosmoto Italy Serie D |
0-2 | 1-5 | 9 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paganese vs Atletico Lodigiani?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Paganese win (50%). Probabilities: Paganese 50%, draw 25%, Atletico Lodigiani 25%.
How many goals are expected in Paganese vs Atletico Lodigiani?
The model expects 3.16 goals (Paganese 1.87 · Atletico Lodigiani 1.29), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Paganese vs Atletico Lodigiani?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.