Football · Italy Serie D · 15/11, 14:30

Prediction: Sarnese vs Anzio Calcio 1924

Team pages: Sarnese · Anzio Calcio 1924

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.49Total
Sarnese1.72
Anzio Calcio 19240.77
1X2
60% 25% 16%
Sarnese Draw Anzio Calcio 1924
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Sarnese 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
DWWDWWWLWW
Anzio Calcio 1924 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LWLWWDDDWL
Head-to-head
Sarnese 2–0 Anzio Calcio 1924 (2 last)
  • Anzio Calcio 19242-6Sarnese
  • Sarnese1-0Anzio Calcio 1924
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sarnese 1577 · Anzio Calcio 1924 1511
SarneseDrawAnzio Calcio 1924
Our model59%26%15%
Market60%24%16%
Estimated total (ours) 2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sarnese (rating 1577 vs 1511).
  • H2H favours Sarnese: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SarneseAnzio Calcio 1924
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 0.91.1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.41 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/38/13%50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 3.42 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.37 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sarnese 2–0–0 Anzio Calcio 1924

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DateHomeScoreAway
16/02/25
Italy Serie D
Anzio Calcio 19242-6Sarnese
19/10/24
Italy Serie D
Sarnese1-0Anzio Calcio 1924

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 11821 28726
2 Sambiase 11821 19826
3 Vibonese 11731 241024
4 Calcio Avola 1949 11614 171619
5 Milazzo 11614 141319
6 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 11533 161018
7 Igea Virtus 11533 252218
8 Città di Gela 11443 13915
9 Siracusa 11632 181014
10 ASD Licata 11425 112214
11 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 10424 131214
12 Nissa FC 11335 161512
13 Modica 10316 121310
14 Trapani 11425 9149
15 Vigor Lamezia 11227 11218
16 ASD CastrumFavara 11227 12198
17 ASD Ragusa 11038 9233
18 Enna Calcio 11038 4273

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSarneseAnzio Calcio 1924
Monastir Kosmoto 5-2 W 3-1 W
Sarrabus Ogliastra 2-0 W 0-1 L
Gelbison 3-1 W 2-0 W
Afragolese 1944 1-1 D 0-0 D
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 0 L 2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Sarnese (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sarnese

DWWDWWWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 Monastir Kosmoto
Italy Serie D
2-0 5-2 73 W
01/11 Sarrabus Ogliastra
Italy Serie D
2-0 2-0 34 W
25/10 ASD Aranova
Italy Serie D
– 1-2 –– L
18/10 Citta di Anagni
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-0 45 W
11/10 Atletico Lodigiani
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 22 W
04/10 Paganese
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-1 17 W
27/09 Polisportiva Ossese
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-2 44 D
20/09 Gelbison
Italy Serie D
1-0 3-1 33 W
16/09 US Venafro
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
12/09 Afragolese 1944
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 35 D

Anzio Calcio 1924

LWLWWDDDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/11 ASD Trastevere
Italy Serie D
– 1-2 –– L
08/11 Gelbison
Italy Serie D
– 2-0 –– W
25/10 Afragolese 1944
Italy Serie D
– 0-0 –– D
18/10 USD Latte Dolce
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 49 D
11/10 Unipomezia
Italy Serie D
– 0-0 –– D
04/10 Cynthialbalonga
Italy Serie D
– 2-0 –– W
27/09 Certosa Vigor Campagnano
Italy Serie D
– 2-1 –– W
20/09 Budoni
Italy Serie D
– 0-2 –– L
16/09 Monastir Kosmoto
Italy Serie D
1-1 3-1 45 W
13/09 Sarrabus Ogliastra
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sarnese vs Anzio Calcio 1924?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sarnese win (60%). Probabilities: Sarnese 60%, draw 25%, Anzio Calcio 1924 16%.

How many goals are expected in Sarnese vs Anzio Calcio 1924?

The model expects 2.49 goals (Sarnese 1.72 · Anzio Calcio 1924 0.77), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sarnese vs Anzio Calcio 1924?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.