Football · England Premier League 2 · 21/08, 20:00
Prediction: Leicester U21 vs Blackburn U21
Team pages: Leicester U21
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.83Total
Leicester U212.38
Blackburn U211.45
1X2
Leicester U21
Draw
Blackburn U21
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Leicester U21
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Blackburn U21
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Leicester U21
1–1–3
Blackburn U21
(5 last)
- Leicester U213-3Blackburn U21
- Blackburn U213-2Leicester U21
- Blackburn U214-1Leicester U21
- Leicester U210-1Blackburn U21
- Blackburn U210-4Leicester U21
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leicester U21 1515 · Blackburn U21 1420
| Leicester U21 | Draw | Blackburn U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 21% | 22% |
| Market | 58% | 20% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.83 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leicester U21 (rating 1515 vs 1420).
- H2H favours Blackburn U21: 3-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Leicester U21 | Blackburn U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.6 | 1.3 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.1 | 0.7 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 6.5 | 1.9 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.2 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leicester U21 1–1–3 Blackburn U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09/25 England Premier League 2 | Leicester U21 | 3-3 HT 1-3 | Blackburn U21 |
| 04/10/24 England Premier League 2 | Blackburn U21 | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Leicester U21 |
| 27/08/23 England Premier League 2 | Blackburn U21 | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Leicester U21 |
| 06/03/23 England Premier League 2 | Leicester U21 | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Blackburn U21 |
| 27/08/22 England Premier League 2 | Blackburn U21 | 0-4 HT 0-4 | Leicester U21 |
Standings · England Premier League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Aston Villa U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Birmingham U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Blackburn U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bournemouth U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Brentford U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Brighton U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Burnley U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chelsea U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Crystal Palace U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Derby U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Everton U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Fulham U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ipswich U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leeds U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leicester U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Liverpool U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Man City U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Man Utd U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Middlesbrough U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Newcastle U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Norwich U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nottm Forest U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Reading U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Southampton U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stoke U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sunderland U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tottenham U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | West Brom U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | West Ham U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wolverhampton U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Leicester U21 | Blackburn U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Tottenham U21 | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Aston Villa U21 | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Newcastle U21 | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| West Ham U21 | 1-1 D | 2-4 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 2 L | 0 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Leicester U21 (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leicester U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Sutton Utd England National League Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 14/08 | Plymouth U21 England U21 Premier League Cup |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 24/04 | Tottenham U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 13/04 | Leeds U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 20/03 | Aston Villa U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 13/03 | Arsenal U21 England Premier League 2 |
3-1 | 5-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 09/03 | Newcastle U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 23/02 | Man Utd U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 13/02 | West Ham U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 09/02 | Norwich U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
Blackburn U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Southampton U21 England U21 Premier League Cup |
0-3 | 0-4 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 17/04 | Tottenham U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 15/04 | Sunderland U21 England U21 Premier League Cup |
2-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 12/04 | Burnley U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 06/04 | Aston Villa U21 England Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 25/03 | Reading U21 England U21 Premier League Cup |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 20/03 | West Ham U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 13/03 | Newcastle U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 06/03 | Crystal Palace U21 England Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 23/02 | West Brom U21 England Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leicester U21 vs Blackburn U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Leicester U21 win (58%). Probabilities: Leicester U21 58%, draw 20%, Blackburn U21 22%.
How many goals are expected in Leicester U21 vs Blackburn U21?
The model expects 3.83 goals (Leicester U21 2.38 · Blackburn U21 1.45), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Leicester U21 vs Blackburn U21?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.