Football · England Premier League 2 · 23/10, 20:00

Prediction: Everton U21 vs Wolverhampton U21

Team pages: Everton U21 · Wolverhampton U21

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.96Total

Everton U211.73

Wolverhampton U211.22

1X2

49% 24% 27%

Everton U21 Draw Wolverhampton U21

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Everton U21 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DLLDWDLWDW

Wolverhampton U21 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WLDLLDLLLW

Head-to-head

Everton U21 1–3 Wolverhampton U21 (4 last)

Wolverhampton U214-2Everton U21
Everton U210-2Wolverhampton U21
Wolverhampton U215-0Everton U21
Everton U213-0Wolverhampton U21

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Everton U21 1502 · Wolverhampton U21 1470

	Everton U21	Draw	Wolverhampton U21
Our model	48%	26%	26%
Market	50%	22%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.96 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Wolverhampton U21: 3-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Everton U21	Wolverhampton U21
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.7	0.7 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.5 / 1.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.7	1.5 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.4	3.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.80

X4.00

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.93

Under 3.51.88

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Pinn 1.96 ★
X	4.00 → 4.00	Pinn 4.09
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:04 +4’	1.80	4.00	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:26 +43’	1.96	4.09	2.97

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Everton U21 1–0–3 Wolverhampton U21

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
04/10/24 England Premier League 2	Wolverhampton U21	4-2 HT 2-0	Everton U21
15/03/24 England Premier League 2	Everton U21	0-2 HT 0-1	Wolverhampton U21
10/04/23 England Premier League 2	Wolverhampton U21	5-0 HT 3-0	Everton U21
31/03/23 England Premier League 2	Everton U21	3-0 HT 3-0	Wolverhampton U21

Standings · England Premier League 2

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tottenham U21	5	4	1	0	15	7	13
2	Chelsea U21	5	4	0	1	15	9	12
3	Nottm Forest U21	5	4	0	1	10	9	12
4	Liverpool U21	5	3	1	1	9	4	10
5	Southampton U21	4	3	1	0	7	2	10
6	Sunderland U21	5	3	1	1	15	11	10
7	Fulham U21	5	3	1	1	14	10	10
8	Norwich U21	5	3	1	1	10	7	10
9	Bournemouth U21	5	3	1	1	11	9	10
10	Man Utd U21	4	3	0	1	14	6	9
11	Everton U21	5	2	2	1	6	4	8
12	Aston Villa U21	5	2	2	1	8	8	8
13	Crystal Palace U21	4	2	1	1	7	3	7
14	Derby U21	5	2	1	2	13	12	7
15	Reading U21	5	2	1	2	7	7	7
16	Leeds U21	5	2	1	2	12	13	7
17	Brentford U21	5	2	0	3	11	10	6
18	Brighton U21	5	1	2	2	10	12	5
19	West Ham U21	5	1	2	2	7	9	5
20	Stoke U21	5	1	1	3	8	7	4
21	Arsenal U21	5	0	4	1	6	9	4
22	Man City U21	3	1	0	2	7	6	3
23	Burnley U21	5	1	0	4	8	10	3
24	Blackburn U21	3	1	0	2	4	7	3
25	Ipswich U21	3	1	0	2	6	10	3
26	Wolverhampton U21	4	1	0	3	2	11	3
27	Middlesbrough U21	5	0	2	3	8	12	2
28	Birmingham U21	4	0	2	2	5	11	2
29	West Brom U21	4	0	1	3	9	13	1
30	Leicester U21	4	0	1	3	1	9	1
31	Newcastle U21	3	0	0	3	1	9	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Everton U21	Wolverhampton U21
Reading U21	0-0 D	2-1 W
Southampton U21	1-2 L	0-2 L
Liverpool U21	1-1 D	0-5 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Everton U21 (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Everton U21

DLLDWDLWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	Middlesbrough U21 England Premier League 2	1-1	2-1	7	5	W
19/09	Reading U21 England Premier League 2	0-0	0-0	2	9	D
13/09	Brentford U21 England Premier League 2	0-0	2-0	12	3	W
28/08	Southampton U21 England Premier League 2	1-0	1-2	5	5	L
21/08	Liverpool U21 England Premier League 2	1-1	1-1	5	6	D
17/04	Ipswich U21 England Premier League 2	3-2	8-4	5	3	W
03/04	Birmingham U21 England Premier League 2	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
22/03	Brighton U21 England Premier League 2	0-1	0-5	2	4	L
09/03	Reading U21 England Premier League 2	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
27/02	Southampton U21 England Premier League 2	1-1	2-2	7	4	D

Wolverhampton U21

WLDLLDLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	West Brom U21 England Premier League 2	1-0	2-1	4	7	W
18/09	Southampton U21 England Premier League 2	0-1	0-2	3	7	L
11/09	Stoke U21 England Premier League 2	0-2	0-4	7	7	L
24/08	Man City U21 England Premier League 2	0-3	0-4	1	1	L
13/04	Newcastle U21 England Premier League 2	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
10/04	Tottenham U21 England Premier League 2	0-1	0-1	3	1	L
20/03	Chelsea U21 England Premier League 2	0-3	0-4	3	5	L
14/03	Crystal Palace U21 England Premier League 2	1-1	2-2	3	2	D
08/03	Liverpool U21 England Premier League 2	0-5	0-5	2	1	L
02/03	Reading U21 England Premier League 2	2-0	2-1	4	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Everton U21 vs Wolverhampton U21?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Everton U21 win (49%). Probabilities: Everton U21 49%, draw 24%, Wolverhampton U21 27%.

How many goals are expected in Everton U21 vs Wolverhampton U21?

The model expects 2.96 goals (Everton U21 1.73 · Wolverhampton U21 1.22), with a 57% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Everton U21 vs Wolverhampton U21?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.