Prediction: U.S. Ancona vs Lanciano
Team pages: U.S. Ancona · Lanciano
| U.S. Ancona | Draw | Lanciano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 22% | 14% |
| Market | 64% | 21% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours U.S. Ancona (rating 1546 vs 1487).
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| U.S. Ancona | Lanciano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.8 | 1.4 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/33/17% | 17/33/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.8 | 2 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 1.2 | 3.2 / 0.2 |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 26 |
| 3 | Vibonese | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 19 |
| 5 | Milazzo | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 19 |
| 6 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 18 |
| 7 | Igea Virtus | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 22 | 18 |
| 8 | Città di Gela | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 15 |
| 9 | Siracusa | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | ASD Licata | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 14 |
| 11 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | Nissa FC | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 12 |
| 13 | Modica | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 10 |
| 14 | Trapani | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 9 |
| 15 | Vigor Lamezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 8 |
| 16 | ASD CastrumFavara | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 8 |
| 17 | ASD Ragusa | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 3 |
| 18 | Enna Calcio | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 3 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | U.S. Ancona | Lanciano |
|---|---|---|
| Termoli | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| ASD Atletico Ascoli | 1-0 W | 1-5 L |
| Vigor Senigallia | 5-0 W | 1-2 L |
| FC Forsempronese | 2-3 L | 4-2 W |
| ASD Sporting Trestina | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Maceratese | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| ASD K-Sport Montecchio | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: U.S. Ancona (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
U.S. Ancona
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Termoli Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 01/11 | ASD Atletico Ascoli Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 25/10 | Vigor Senigallia Italy Serie D |
3-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 18/10 | FC Forsempronese Italy Serie D |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 11/10 | Giulianova Calcio 1924 Italy Serie D |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/10 | ASD Sporting Trestina Italy Serie D |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/09 | ASD Angelana 1930 Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 20/09 | L'Aquila Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 16/09 | Maceratese Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 11 | W |
| 12/09 | ASD K-Sport Montecchio Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
Lanciano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Maceratese Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 01/11 | Teramo Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 25/10 | Notaresco Calcio 1924 Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 18/10 | ASD Atletico Ascoli Italy Serie D |
1-2 | 1-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 11/10 | ASD K-Sport Montecchio Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 04/10 | Termoli Italy Serie D |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 27/09 | Recanatese Italy Serie D |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 20/09 | FC Forsempronese Italy Serie D |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 16/09 | Vigor Senigallia Italy Serie D |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 12/09 | ASD Sporting Trestina Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in U.S. Ancona vs Lanciano?
According to our model, the most likely result is a U.S. Ancona win (64%). Probabilities: U.S. Ancona 64%, draw 22%, Lanciano 14%.
How many goals are expected in U.S. Ancona vs Lanciano?
The model expects 2.93 goals (U.S. Ancona 2.06 · Lanciano 0.87), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in U.S. Ancona vs Lanciano?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.