Football · Italy Serie D · 15/11, 14:30

Prediction: Foligno vs Termoli

Team pages: Foligno · Termoli

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.98Total
Foligno1.24
Termoli0.74
1X2
48% 30% 22%
Foligno Draw Termoli
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Foligno 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WLWDWWLLWD
Termoli 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
WDLLWWLDDD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Foligno 1526 · Termoli 1505
FolignoDrawTermoli
Our model47%32%21%
Market49%28%23%
Estimated total (ours) 1.98 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FolignoTermoli
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.10.7 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.50 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)25/50/25%0/33/67%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 5.32 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 04.7 / 0

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 11821 28726
2 Sambiase 11821 19826
3 Vibonese 11731 241024
4 Calcio Avola 1949 11614 171619
5 Milazzo 11614 141319
6 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 11533 161018
7 Igea Virtus 11533 252218
8 Città di Gela 11443 13915
9 Siracusa 11632 181014
10 ASD Licata 11425 112214
11 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 10424 131214
12 Nissa FC 11335 161512
13 Modica 10316 121310
14 Trapani 11425 9149
15 Vigor Lamezia 11227 11218
16 ASD CastrumFavara 11227 12198
17 ASD Ragusa 11038 9233
18 Enna Calcio 11038 4273

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFolignoTermoli
ASD Sporting Trestina 1-1 D 0-2 L
Vigor Senigallia 3-1 W 1-2 L
Giulianova Calcio 1924 0-1 L 0-0 D
ASD Angelana 1930 1-0 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Foligno (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Foligno

WLWDWWLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 ASD Sporting Trestina
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 75 D
01/11 Vigor Senigallia
Italy Serie D
– 3-1 –– W
25/10 L'Aquila
Italy Serie D
– 2-3 –– L
18/10 Giulianova Calcio 1924
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
11/10 Maceratese
Italy Serie D
0-0 2-0 62 W
04/10 ASD Angelana 1930
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
27/09 ASD K-Sport Montecchio
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
20/09 Notaresco Calcio 1924
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
16/09 Recanatese
Italy Serie D
1-2 1-4 24 L
12/09 Polisportiva Pietralunghese
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 65 W

Termoli

WDLLWWLDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 U.S. Ancona
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
01/11 Santegidiese
Italy Serie D
– 0-0 –– D
25/10 ASD Atletico Ascoli
Italy Serie D
– 0-0 –– D
18/10 Teramo
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 44 L
11/10 FC Forsempronese
Italy Serie D
0-1 2-1 58 W
04/10 Lanciano
Italy Serie D
– 2-0 –– W
27/09 ASD Sporting Trestina
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-2 32 L
20/09 Vigor Senigallia
Italy Serie D
– 1-2 –– L
16/09 Giulianova Calcio 1924
Italy Serie D
– 0-0 –– D
13/09 ASD Angelana 1930
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Foligno vs Termoli?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Foligno win (48%). Probabilities: Foligno 48%, draw 30%, Termoli 22%.

How many goals are expected in Foligno vs Termoli?

The model expects 1.98 goals (Foligno 1.24 · Termoli 0.74), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Foligno vs Termoli?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.