Football · Italy Serie D · 15/11, 14:30

Prediction: Notaresco Calcio 1924 vs ASD Sporting Trestina

Team pages: Notaresco Calcio 1924 · ASD Sporting Trestina

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.05Total
Notaresco Calcio 19241.31
ASD Sporting Trestina0.74
1X2
50% 29% 21%
Notaresco Calcio 1924 Draw ASD Sporting Trestina
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Notaresco Calcio 1924 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
DWLDWWWDDL
ASD Sporting Trestina 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
DLLWLLLWWD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Notaresco Calcio 1924 1518 · ASD Sporting Trestina 1476
Notaresco Calcio 1924DrawASD Sporting Trestina
Our model49%31%20%
Market51%27%22%
Estimated total (ours) 2.05 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Notaresco Calcio 1924 (rating 1518 vs 1476).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Notaresco Calcio 1924ASD Sporting Trestina
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 0.90.6 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.70.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)17/50/33%25/38/38%
Corners (HT / FT)3.2 / 6.71.1 / 2.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 0.23.9 / 0.1

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 11821 28726
2 Sambiase 11821 19826
3 Vibonese 11731 241024
4 Calcio Avola 1949 11614 171619
5 Milazzo 11614 141319
6 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 11533 161018
7 Igea Virtus 11533 252218
8 Città di Gela 11443 13915
9 Siracusa 11632 181014
10 ASD Licata 11425 112214
11 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 10424 131214
12 Nissa FC 11335 161512
13 Modica 10316 121310
14 Trapani 11425 9149
15 Vigor Lamezia 11227 11218
16 ASD CastrumFavara 11227 12198
17 ASD Ragusa 11038 9233
18 Enna Calcio 11038 4273

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNotaresco Calcio 1924ASD Sporting Trestina
Lanciano 0-0 D 0-0 D
Recanatese 2-1 W 1-0 W
Polisportiva Pietralunghese 1-1 D 0-2 L
Foligno 0-1 L 1-1 D
Santegidiese 1-0 W 2-1 W
Teramo 2-2 D 0-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 1 L 2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Notaresco Calcio 1924 (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Notaresco Calcio 1924

DWLDWWWDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 ASD Angelana 1930
Italy Serie D
– 0-2 –– L
01/11 L'Aquila
Italy Serie D
– 0-0 –– D
25/10 Lanciano
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 62 D
18/10 Maceratese
Italy Serie D
0-2 5-2 114 W
10/10 Recanatese
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-1 35 W
04/10 ASD K-Sport Montecchio
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 112 W
26/09 Polisportiva Pietralunghese
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-1 74 D
20/09 Foligno
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
16/09 Santegidiese
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
12/09 Teramo
Italy Serie D
0-1 2-2 29 D

ASD Sporting Trestina

DLLWLLLWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 Foligno
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 55 D
01/11 Recanatese
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 06 W
25/10 Santegidiese
Italy Serie D
2-0 2-1 34 W
17/10 Polisportiva Pietralunghese
Italy Serie D
– 0-2 –– L
11/10 Teramo
Italy Serie D
0-2 0-2 41 L
04/10 U.S. Ancona
Italy Serie D
– 0-2 –– L
27/09 Termoli
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-0 22 W
20/09 ASD Atletico Ascoli
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 35 L
16/09 FC Forsempronese
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 35 L
12/09 Lanciano
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 14 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Notaresco Calcio 1924 vs ASD Sporting Trestina?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Notaresco Calcio 1924 win (50%). Probabilities: Notaresco Calcio 1924 50%, draw 29%, ASD Sporting Trestina 21%.

How many goals are expected in Notaresco Calcio 1924 vs ASD Sporting Trestina?

The model expects 2.05 goals (Notaresco Calcio 1924 1.31 · ASD Sporting Trestina 0.74), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Notaresco Calcio 1924 vs ASD Sporting Trestina?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.