Football · Italy Serie D · 08/11, 14:30

Prediction: ASD Atletico Ascoli vs Teramo

Team pages: ASD Atletico Ascoli · Teramo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.84Total

ASD Atletico Ascoli1.36

Teramo1.48

1X2

34% 27% 39%

ASD Atletico Ascoli Draw Teramo

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

ASD Atletico Ascoli 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWDWLLWWDL

Teramo 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWLWWWWW

Head-to-head

ASD Atletico Ascoli 1–3–1 Teramo (5 last)

Teramo2-1ASD Atletico Ascoli
ASD Atletico Ascoli1-1Teramo
Teramo1-2ASD Atletico Ascoli
ASD Atletico Ascoli0-0Teramo
Teramo0-0ASD Atletico Ascoli

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Teramo (rating 1507 vs 1580).
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ASD Atletico Ascoli	Teramo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.1	2.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.3	1.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	67/33/0%	86/14/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.2	2.1 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.3	3.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.88

Under 2.51.83

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:10

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.95 → 2.95	Pinn 2.95
X	3.19 → 3.19	Pinn 3.19
2	2.15 → 2.15	Pinn 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
03:42 +28’	2.95	3.19	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · ASD Atletico Ascoli 1–3–1 Teramo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Italy Serie D Play-Offs	Teramo	2-1 HT 1-1	ASD Atletico Ascoli
03/05/26 Italy Serie D	ASD Atletico Ascoli	1-1 HT 0-1	Teramo
21/12/25 Italy Serie D	Teramo	1-2 HT 0-2	ASD Atletico Ascoli
17/04/25 Italy Serie D	ASD Atletico Ascoli	0-0 HT 0-0	Teramo
08/12/24 Italy Serie D	Teramo	0-0 HT 0-0	ASD Atletico Ascoli

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Reggina	10	7	2	1	25	7	23
2	Sambiase	10	7	2	1	17	8	23
3	Vibonese	10	6	3	1	22	9	21
4	Calcio Avola 1949	10	6	1	3	16	14	19
5	ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora	10	5	3	2	16	8	18
6	Milazzo	10	5	1	4	11	12	16
7	Igea Virtus	10	4	3	3	23	21	15
8	ASD Licata	10	4	2	4	10	17	14
9	SSD Athletic Club Palermo	9	4	2	3	12	10	14
10	Città di Gela	10	3	4	3	11	8	12
11	Nissa FC	10	3	3	4	16	14	12
12	Siracusa	10	5	3	2	17	10	11
13	Vigor Lamezia	10	2	2	6	10	18	8
14	ASD CastrumFavara	10	2	2	6	11	17	8
15	Modica	9	2	1	6	7	12	7
16	Trapani	10	3	2	5	7	14	6
17	ASD Ragusa	10	0	3	7	9	21	3
18	Enna Calcio	10	0	3	7	4	24	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ASD Atletico Ascoli	Teramo
Termoli	0-0 D	1-0 W
Lanciano	5-1 W	2-0 W
Vigor Senigallia	2-1 W	6-4 W
FC Forsempronese	0-1 L	4-2 W
Giulianova Calcio 1924	2-4 L	3-2 W
ASD Sporting Trestina	1-0 W	2-0 W
L'Aquila	0-0 D	0-2 L
Maceratese	2-1 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	7 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Teramo (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ASD Atletico Ascoli

LWDWLLWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	U.S. Ancona Italy Serie D	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
25/10	Termoli Italy Serie D	–	0-0	–	–	D
18/10	Lanciano Italy Serie D	2-1	5-1	4	2	W
11/10	Vigor Senigallia Italy Serie D	2-0	2-1	3	5	W
04/10	FC Forsempronese Italy Serie D	–	0-1	–	–	L
27/09	Giulianova Calcio 1924 Italy Serie D	1-1	2-4	4	6	L
20/09	ASD Sporting Trestina Italy Serie D	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
16/09	L'Aquila Italy Serie D	–	0-0	–	–	D
13/09	Maceratese Italy Serie D	1-0	2-1	6	2	W
06/09	Angelana 1930 Italy Serie D	–	1-2	–	–	L

Teramo

WDWWLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Lanciano Italy Serie D	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
25/10	FC Forsempronese Italy Serie D	–	4-2	–	–	W
18/10	Termoli Italy Serie D	0-0	1-0	1	4	W
11/10	ASD Sporting Trestina Italy Serie D	2-0	2-0	6	1	W
04/10	Vigor Senigallia Italy Serie D	3-2	6-4	5	4	W
27/09	L'Aquila Italy Serie D	–	0-2	–	–	L
20/09	Giulianova Calcio 1924 Italy Serie D	1-0	3-2	7	3	W
16/09	ASD Angelana 1930 Italy Serie D	2-0	3-1	8	2	W
12/09	Notaresco Calcio 1924 Italy Serie D	1-0	2-2	4	9	D
06/09	Maceratese Italy Serie D	–	3-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ASD Atletico Ascoli vs Teramo?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Teramo win (39%). Probabilities: ASD Atletico Ascoli 34%, draw 27%, Teramo 39%.

How many goals are expected in ASD Atletico Ascoli vs Teramo?

The model expects 2.84 goals (ASD Atletico Ascoli 1.36 · Teramo 1.48), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in ASD Atletico Ascoli vs Teramo?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.