Football · Italy Serie D · 08/11, 14:30
Prediction: Termoli vs U.S. Ancona
Team pages: Termoli · U.S. Ancona
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.9Total
Termoli0.9
U.S. Ancona1.01
1X2
Termoli
Draw
U.S. Ancona
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Termoli
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
U.S. Ancona
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Termoli
2–2
U.S. Ancona
(4 last)
- U.S. Ancona1-0Termoli
- Termoli2-3U.S. Ancona
- U.S. Ancona0-1Termoli
- Termoli4-0U.S. Ancona
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours U.S. Ancona (rating 1492 vs 1564).
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Termoli | U.S. Ancona | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 1.8 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.7 | 1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/33/67% | 43/43/14% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4 | 2.3 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0 | 4.9 / 1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Termoli 2–0–2 U.S. Ancona
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/26 Italy Serie D | U.S. Ancona | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Termoli |
| 14/09/25 Italy Serie D | Termoli | 2-3 | U.S. Ancona |
| 23/02/25 Italy Serie D | U.S. Ancona | 0-1 | Termoli |
| 23/10/24 Italy Serie D | Termoli | 4-0 HT 2-0 | U.S. Ancona |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 7 | 23 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Vibonese | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 19 |
| 5 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 | Milazzo | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 16 |
| 7 | Igea Virtus | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 21 | 15 |
| 8 | ASD Licata | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 14 |
| 9 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | Città di Gela | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
| 11 | Nissa FC | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 12 |
| 12 | Siracusa | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 11 |
| 13 | Vigor Lamezia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 8 |
| 14 | ASD CastrumFavara | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 8 |
| 15 | Modica | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 7 |
| 16 | Trapani | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 6 |
| 17 | ASD Ragusa | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 3 |
| 18 | Enna Calcio | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 3 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Termoli | U.S. Ancona |
|---|---|---|
| ASD Atletico Ascoli | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| FC Forsempronese | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| ASD Sporting Trestina | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Vigor Senigallia | 1-2 L | 5-0 W |
| Giulianova Calcio 1924 | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| ASD Angelana 1930 | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| L'Aquila | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 4 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: U.S. Ancona (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Termoli
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Santegidiese Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 25/10 | ASD Atletico Ascoli Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 18/10 | Teramo Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 11/10 | FC Forsempronese Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 04/10 | Lanciano Italy Serie D |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/09 | ASD Sporting Trestina Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | Vigor Senigallia Italy Serie D |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/09 | Giulianova Calcio 1924 Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 13/09 | ASD Angelana 1930 Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/09 | L'Aquila Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
U.S. Ancona
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | ASD Atletico Ascoli Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 25/10 | Vigor Senigallia Italy Serie D |
3-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 18/10 | FC Forsempronese Italy Serie D |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 11/10 | Giulianova Calcio 1924 Italy Serie D |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/10 | ASD Sporting Trestina Italy Serie D |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/09 | ASD Angelana 1930 Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 20/09 | L'Aquila Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 16/09 | Maceratese Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 11 | W |
| 12/09 | ASD K-Sport Montecchio Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | Notaresco Calcio 1924 Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Termoli vs U.S. Ancona?
According to our model, the most likely result is an U.S. Ancona win (36%). Probabilities: Termoli 30%, draw 34%, U.S. Ancona 36%.
How many goals are expected in Termoli vs U.S. Ancona?
The model expects 1.9 goals (Termoli 0.9 · U.S. Ancona 1.01), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Termoli vs U.S. Ancona?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.