Football · Italy Serie D · 15/11, 14:30

Prediction: Arconatese vs A.C. Crema 1908

Team pages: A.C. Crema 1908

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.94Total
Arconatese1.38
A.C. Crema 19081.56
1X2
32% 27% 40%
Arconatese Draw A.C. Crema 1908
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Arconatese 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
DLLDDLLWLL
A.C. Crema 1908 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LLLLWDWDWW
Head-to-head
Arconatese 3–3 A.C. Crema 1908 (6 last)
  • Arconatese0-1A.C. Crema 1908
  • A.C. Crema 19083-2Arconatese
  • Arconatese3-0A.C. Crema 1908
  • A.C. Crema 19080-2Arconatese
  • Arconatese0-1A.C. Crema 1908
  • A.C. Crema 19081-2Arconatese
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Arconatese 1432 · A.C. Crema 1908 1507
ArconateseDrawA.C. Crema 1908
Our model33%27%41%
Market32%28%40%
Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours A.C. Crema 1908 (rating 1432 vs 1507).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ArconateseA.C. Crema 1908
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 2.41.4 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 1.20.2 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 2.83.2 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 0.23.6 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Arconatese 3–0–3 A.C. Crema 1908

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/02/25
Italy Serie D
Arconatese0-1A.C. Crema 1908
06/10/24
Italy Serie D
A.C. Crema 19083-2Arconatese
21/01/24
Italy Serie D
Arconatese3-0
HT 2-0
A.C. Crema 1908
24/09/23
Italy Serie D
A.C. Crema 19080-2
HT 0-2
Arconatese
02/02/22
Italy Serie D
Arconatese0-1
HT 0-0
A.C. Crema 1908
27/09/21
Italy Serie D
A.C. Crema 19081-2
HT 0-1
Arconatese

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 11821 28726
2 Sambiase 11821 19826
3 Vibonese 11731 241024
4 Calcio Avola 1949 11614 171619
5 Milazzo 11614 141319
6 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 11533 161018
7 Igea Virtus 11533 252218
8 Città di Gela 11443 13915
9 Siracusa 11632 181014
10 ASD Licata 11425 112214
11 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 10424 131214
12 Nissa FC 11335 161512
13 Modica 10316 121310
14 Trapani 11425 9149
15 Vigor Lamezia 11227 11218
16 ASD CastrumFavara 11227 12198
17 ASD Ragusa 11038 9233
18 Enna Calcio 11038 4273

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentArconateseA.C. Crema 1908
Lentigione 1-2 L 1-1 D
Pontedera 3-4 L 4-1 W
Tropical Coriano 2-1 W 0-0 D
Citta di Varese 1-5 L 3-2 W
USD Castellanzese 0-1 L 0-4 L
Pro Sesto 1-1 D 0-3 L
Pro Patria 0-3 L 0-2 L
Pistoiese 0-5 L 1-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 6 L 2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: A.C. Crema 1908 (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Arconatese

DLLDDLLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 Lentigione
Italy Serie D
– 1-2 –– L
01/11 Pontedera
Italy Serie D
– 3-4 –– L
25/10 Tropical Coriano
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-1 48 W
18/10 Citta di Varese
Italy Serie D
0-3 1-5 31 L
11/10 USD Castellanzese
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 43 L
04/10 Pro Sesto
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
27/09 Pavia
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-1 05 D
20/09 Pro Patria
Italy Serie D
– 0-3 –– L
16/09 Pistoiese
Italy Serie D
0-2 0-5 32 L
12/09 Correggese
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D

A.C. Crema 1908

LLLLWDWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 Oltrepò
Italy Serie D
– 3-0 –– W
01/11 Cittadella Vis Modena
Italy Serie D
– 2-1 –– W
25/10 Lentigione
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-1 44 D
18/10 Pontedera
Italy Serie D
– 4-1 –– W
11/10 Tropical Coriano
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 87 D
04/10 Citta di Varese
Italy Serie D
– 3-2 –– W
27/09 USD Castellanzese
Italy Serie D
0-3 0-4 91 L
20/09 Pro Sesto
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-3 112 L
16/09 Pro Patria
Italy Serie D
0-2 0-2 34 L
13/09 Pistoiese
Italy Serie D
– 1-3 –– L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Arconatese vs A.C. Crema 1908?

According to our model, the most likely result is an A.C. Crema 1908 win (40%). Probabilities: Arconatese 32%, draw 27%, A.C. Crema 1908 40%.

How many goals are expected in Arconatese vs A.C. Crema 1908?

The model expects 2.94 goals (Arconatese 1.38 · A.C. Crema 1908 1.56), with a 57% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Arconatese vs A.C. Crema 1908?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.