Prediction: Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pavia
Team pages: Cittadella Vis Modena · Pavia
| Cittadella Vis Modena | Draw | Pavia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 34% | 24% |
| Market | 44% | 29% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cittadella Vis Modena | Pavia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 14/57/29% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6 | 3.5 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.4 | 5.5 / 0.3 |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 7 | 23 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Vibonese | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 19 |
| 5 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 | Milazzo | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 16 |
| 7 | Igea Virtus | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 21 | 15 |
| 8 | ASD Licata | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 14 |
| 9 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | Città di Gela | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
| 11 | Nissa FC | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 12 |
| 12 | Siracusa | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 11 |
| 13 | Vigor Lamezia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 8 |
| 14 | ASD CastrumFavara | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 8 |
| 15 | Modica | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 7 |
| 16 | Trapani | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 6 |
| 17 | ASD Ragusa | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 3 |
| 18 | Enna Calcio | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cittadella Vis Modena | Pavia |
|---|---|---|
| A.C. Crema 1908 | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Pistoiese | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| USD Casatese | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Correggese | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| ASD Varesina | 2-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Pavia (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cittadella Vis Modena
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | A.C. Crema 1908 Italy Serie D |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/10 | Pistoiese Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 18/10 | Oltrepò Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 11/10 | USD Casatese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 04/10 | Pontedera Italy Serie D |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/09 | Correggese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | Lentigione Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/09 | Citta di Varese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Tropical Coriano Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | ASD Varesina Italy Serie D |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
Pavia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Pro Patria Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/10 | USD Casatese Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/10 | Pistoiese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 11/10 | ASD Varesina Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 04/10 | Correggese Italy Serie D |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 27/09 | Arconatese Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 20/09 | A.C.D. Sant'Angelo Italy Serie D |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 16/09 | Solbiatese Calcio 1911 Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 06/09 | A.C. Crema 1908 Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | AC Chievo Verona Italy Serie D |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pavia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cittadella Vis Modena win (43%). Probabilities: Cittadella Vis Modena 43%, draw 31%, Pavia 26%.
How many goals are expected in Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pavia?
The model expects 1.92 goals (Cittadella Vis Modena 1.13 · Pavia 0.8), with a 58% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pavia?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.