Football · Italy Serie D · 15/11, 14:30

Prediction: Rovato Vertovese SSD vs Piacenza

Team pages: Rovato Vertovese SSD · Piacenza

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.85Total

Rovato Vertovese SSD1.05

Piacenza1.8

1X2

21% 25% 54%

Rovato Vertovese SSD Draw Piacenza

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Rovato Vertovese SSD 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LDDDLWDLWL

Piacenza 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LDWWDWDWLW

Head-to-head

Rovato Vertovese SSD 0–2 Piacenza (2 last)

Piacenza1-0Rovato Vertovese SSD
Rovato Vertovese SSD1-2Piacenza

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rovato Vertovese SSD 1470 · Piacenza 1574

	Rovato Vertovese SSD	Draw	Piacenza
Our model	21%	25%	54%
Market	21%	26%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 2.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Piacenza (rating 1470 vs 1574).
H2H favours Piacenza: 2-0-0.
High corners: 14.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rovato Vertovese SSD	Piacenza
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.8	1.8 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.3	0.6 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 6.8	2.8 / 7.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

14.33

X3.50

21.67

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.85

2 (-0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 10:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.80 → 4.33▲	Bet365 4.33
X	3.40 → 3.50▲	Bet365 3.50
2	1.80 → 1.67▼	Bet365 1.67

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
07:52 +15’	3.80	3.40	1.80
09:12 +59’	4.33▲	3.50▲	1.67▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Rovato Vertovese SSD 0–0–2 Piacenza

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/01/26 Italy Serie D	Piacenza	1-0 HT 0-0	Rovato Vertovese SSD
24/09/25 Italy Serie D	Rovato Vertovese SSD	1-2	Piacenza

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Reggina	11	8	2	1	28	7	26
2	Sambiase	11	8	2	1	19	8	26
3	Vibonese	11	7	3	1	24	10	24
4	Calcio Avola 1949	11	6	1	4	17	16	19
5	Milazzo	11	6	1	4	14	13	19
6	ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora	11	5	3	3	16	10	18
7	Igea Virtus	11	5	3	3	25	22	18
8	Città di Gela	11	4	4	3	13	9	15
9	Siracusa	11	6	3	2	18	10	14
10	ASD Licata	11	4	2	5	11	22	14
11	SSD Athletic Club Palermo	10	4	2	4	13	12	14
12	Nissa FC	11	3	3	5	16	15	12
13	Modica	10	3	1	6	12	13	10
14	Trapani	11	4	2	5	9	14	9
15	Vigor Lamezia	11	2	2	7	11	21	8
16	ASD CastrumFavara	11	2	2	7	12	19	8
17	ASD Ragusa	11	0	3	8	9	23	3
18	Enna Calcio	11	0	3	8	4	27	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rovato Vertovese SSD	Piacenza
Pro Palazzo	2-3 L	1-1 D
ASD Caldiero Terme	3-1 W	3-1 W
US Fiorenzuola	1-2 L	0-0 D
Scanzorosciate	1-1 D	4-0 W
AC Milan U23	2-1 W	1-2 L
Real Calepina FC	0-1 L	3-1 W
AC Leon Monza Brianza	2-2 D	1-1 D
Virtus Verona	1-1 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 3 L	3 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Piacenza (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rovato Vertovese SSD

LDDDLWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Pro Palazzo Italy Serie D	1-3	2-3	6	6	L
01/11	ASD Caldiero Terme Italy Serie D	–	3-1	–	–	W
25/10	US Fiorenzuola Italy Serie D	–	1-2	–	–	L
18/10	Scanzorosciate Italy Serie D	0-1	1-1	8	5	D
11/10	AC Milan U23 Italy Serie D	1-1	2-1	5	2	W
04/10	Real Calepina FC Italy Serie D	0-0	0-1	8	0	L
27/09	Tritium Italy Serie D	–	2-2	–	–	D
20/09	AC Leon Monza Brianza Italy Serie D	–	2-2	–	–	D
16/09	Virtus Verona Italy Serie D	–	1-1	–	–	D
12/09	AC Chievo Verona Italy Serie D	–	3-4	–	–	L

Piacenza

LDWWDWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	ASD Brusaporto Italy Serie D	2-0	2-0	6	2	W
04/11	AC Milan U23 Italy Serie D	0-0	1-2	8	5	L
01/11	ASD Nibbiano e Valtidone Italy Serie D	0-1	3-2	9	3	W
25/10	Pro Palazzo Italy Serie D	0-0	1-1	13	6	D
18/10	ASD Caldiero Terme Italy Serie D	1-0	3-1	7	5	W
10/10	US Fiorenzuola Italy Serie D	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
04/10	Scanzorosciate Italy Serie D	1-0	4-0	6	4	W
20/09	Real Calepina FC Italy Serie D	1-0	3-1	3	4	W
16/09	AC Leon Monza Brianza Italy Serie D	1-0	1-1	7	5	D
13/09	Virtus Verona Italy Serie D	0-0	0-1	8	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rovato Vertovese SSD vs Piacenza?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Piacenza win (54%). Probabilities: Rovato Vertovese SSD 21%, draw 25%, Piacenza 54%.

How many goals are expected in Rovato Vertovese SSD vs Piacenza?

The model expects 2.85 goals (Rovato Vertovese SSD 1.05 · Piacenza 1.8), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Rovato Vertovese SSD vs Piacenza?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.