Football · Italy Serie D · 18/10, 15:00

Prediction: Correggese vs USD Castellanzese

Team pages: Correggese · USD Castellanzese

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.27Total
Correggese1.13
USD Castellanzese1.13
1X2
35% 30% 35%
Correggese Draw USD Castellanzese
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Correggese 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
DDDWDWLWWL
USD Castellanzese 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
DLDWLLWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Correggese 1514 · USD Castellanzese 1508
CorreggeseDrawUSD Castellanzese
Our model34%31%34%
Market35%29%35%
Estimated total (ours) 2.27 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CorreggeseUSD Castellanzese
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 0.91.8 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.61.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)14/43/43%29/57/14%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 6.32 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 02.4 / 0

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 7511 16216
2 Sambiase 7511 11516
3 Calcio Avola 1949 7502 111015
4 Vibonese 7421 16614
5 ASD Licata 7421 10914
6 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 7331 13512
7 Igea Virtus 7322 161411
8 Milazzo 7313 6910
9 Nissa FC 7232 10109
10 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 7223 10108
11 Siracusa 7421 1157
12 Modica 7214 7107
13 ASD CastrumFavara 7214 897
14 Città di Gela 7133 575
15 Vigor Lamezia 7124 7165
16 ASD Ragusa 7034 5103
17 Trapani 7205 3111
18 Enna Calcio 7016 0171

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCorreggeseUSD Castellanzese
Arconatese 1-1 D 1-0 W
A.C. Crema 1908 0-0 D 4-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 0 L 2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: USD Castellanzese (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Correggese

DDDWDWLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 Pistoiese
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 84 L
04/10 Pavia
Italy Serie D
2-0 2-1 44 W
27/09 Cittadella Vis Modena
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 53 W
20/09 USD Casatese
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-3 24 L
16/09 ASD Varesina
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-1 104 W
12/09 Arconatese
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
03/05 Pro Sesto
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
26/04 A.C. Crema 1908
Italy Serie D
– 0-0 –– D
19/04 CS Trevigliese
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 86 D
12/04 SCD Progresso Calcio
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-1 75 D

USD Castellanzese

DLDWLLWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 Arconatese
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-0 33 W
04/10 A.C.D. Sant'Angelo
Italy Serie D
– 2-1 –– W
27/09 A.C. Crema 1908
Italy Serie D
3-0 4-0 81 W
20/09 Solbiatese Calcio 1911
Italy Serie D
– 4-1 –– W
16/09 Oltrepò
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-1 42 L
12/09 Lentigione
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
06/09 Pontedera
Italy Serie D
2-0 3-1 74 W
03/05 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-1 82 D
26/04 AC Milan U23
Italy Serie D
1-1 1-3 44 L
19/04 AC Chievo Verona
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-2 41 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Correggese vs USD Castellanzese?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Correggese win (35%). Probabilities: Correggese 35%, draw 30%, USD Castellanzese 35%.

How many goals are expected in Correggese vs USD Castellanzese?

The model expects 2.27 goals (Correggese 1.13 · USD Castellanzese 1.13), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Correggese vs USD Castellanzese?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.