Football · Italy Serie D · 01/11, 14:30
Prediction: ASD Villa D'Alme vs ASD Brusaporto
Team pages: ASD Villa D'Alme · ASD Brusaporto
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.16Total
ASD Villa D'Alme1.23
ASD Brusaporto0.94
1X2
ASD Villa D'Alme
Draw
ASD Brusaporto
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
ASD Villa D'Alme
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
ASD Brusaporto
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
ASD Villa D'Alme
4–1–1
ASD Brusaporto
(6 last)
- ASD Villa D'Alme1-0ASD Brusaporto
- ASD Villa D'Alme2-1ASD Brusaporto
- ASD Villa D'Alme2-1ASD Brusaporto
- ASD Brusaporto1-1ASD Villa D'Alme
- ASD Brusaporto0-4ASD Villa D'Alme
- ASD Villa D'Alme0-1ASD Brusaporto
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · ASD Villa D'Alme 1535 · ASD Brusaporto 1457
| ASD Villa D'Alme | Draw | ASD Brusaporto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 32% | 27% |
| Market | 42% | 30% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.16 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ASD Villa D'Alme (rating 1535 vs 1457).
- H2H favours ASD Villa D'Alme: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ASD Villa D'Alme | ASD Brusaporto | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 14/71/14% | 14/29/57% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6.9 | 1.9 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0 | 5.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · ASD Villa D'Alme 4–1–1 ASD Brusaporto
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10/26 Italy Serie D Cup | ASD Villa D'Alme | 1-0 HT 0-0 | ASD Brusaporto |
| 18/01/26 Italy Serie D | ASD Villa D'Alme | 2-1 HT 2-0 | ASD Brusaporto |
| 06/04/25 Italy Serie D | ASD Villa D'Alme | 2-1 HT 2-0 | ASD Brusaporto |
| 24/11/24 Italy Serie D | ASD Brusaporto | 1-1 HT 0-1 | ASD Villa D'Alme |
| 07/01/24 Italy Serie D | ASD Brusaporto | 0-4 HT 0-1 | ASD Villa D'Alme |
| 10/09/23 Italy Serie D | ASD Villa D'Alme | 0-1 HT 0-1 | ASD Brusaporto |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 5 | 20 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Vibonese | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | ASD Licata | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 14 | 17 |
| 5 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 16 |
| 6 | Milazzo | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 16 |
| 7 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 15 |
| 8 | Igea Virtus | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 15 |
| 9 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 11 |
| 10 | Città di Gela | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
| 11 | Nissa FC | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 9 |
| 12 | Siracusa | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 8 |
| 13 | Vigor Lamezia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 8 |
| 14 | ASD CastrumFavara | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 8 |
| 15 | Modica | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 7 |
| 16 | Trapani | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 5 |
| 17 | ASD Ragusa | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 3 |
| 18 | Enna Calcio | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 22 | 2 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | ASD Villa D'Alme | ASD Brusaporto |
|---|---|---|
| Scanzorosciate | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Pro Palazzo | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Real Calepina FC | 3-0 W | 3-2 W |
| US Fiorenzuola | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| AC Leon Monza Brianza | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| AC Milan U23 | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Tritium | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: ASD Villa D'Alme (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ASD Villa D'Alme
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Scanzorosciate Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 18/10 | Pro Palazzo Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 11/10 | Real Calepina FC Italy Serie D |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/10 | US Fiorenzuola Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 27/09 | AC Leon Monza Brianza Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 20/09 | AC Milan U23 Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 16/09 | Tritium Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 12/09 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | Virtus Verona Italy Serie D |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | US Breno Italy Serie D |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
ASD Brusaporto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | ASD Caldiero Terme Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 18/10 | ASD Nibbiano e Valtidone Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 11/10 | Scanzorosciate Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 04/10 | Pro Palazzo Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 27/09 | Real Calepina FC Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 20/09 | US Fiorenzuola Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 16/09 | AC Milan U23 Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Tritium Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | AC Leon Monza Brianza Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Oltrepò Italy Serie D |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ASD Villa D'Alme vs ASD Brusaporto?
According to our model, the most likely result is a ASD Villa D'Alme win (42%). Probabilities: ASD Villa D'Alme 42%, draw 31%, ASD Brusaporto 27%.
How many goals are expected in ASD Villa D'Alme vs ASD Brusaporto?
The model expects 2.16 goals (ASD Villa D'Alme 1.23 · ASD Brusaporto 0.94), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in ASD Villa D'Alme vs ASD Brusaporto?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.