Football · Italy Serie D · 01/11, 14:30
Prediction: Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Real Calepina FC
Team pages: Virtus Ciserano Bergamo · Real Calepina FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.61Total
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo1.31
Real Calepina FC1.3
1X2
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
Draw
Real Calepina FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Real Calepina FC
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
1–2–3
Real Calepina FC
(6 last)
- Virtus Ciserano Bergamo0-3Real Calepina FC
- Virtus Ciserano Bergamo0-2Real Calepina FC
- Real Calepina FC1-1Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
- Virtus Ciserano Bergamo1-1Real Calepina FC
- Real Calepina FC1-0Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
- Real Calepina FC1-2Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Calepina FC (rating 1447 vs 1501).
- H2H favours Real Calepina FC: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | Real Calepina FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.3 | 1.5 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 14/71/14% | 38/38/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.7 / 2.9 | 1.4 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 2.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 1–2–3 Real Calepina FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/26 Italy Serie D Cup | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 0-3 | Real Calepina FC |
| 01/03/26 Italy Serie D | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Real Calepina FC |
| 26/10/25 Italy Serie D | Real Calepina FC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo |
| 06/04/25 Italy Serie D | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Real Calepina FC |
| 24/11/24 Italy Serie D | Real Calepina FC | 1-0 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo |
| 28/01/24 Italy Serie D | Real Calepina FC | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 5 | 20 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Vibonese | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | ASD Licata | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 14 | 17 |
| 5 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 16 |
| 6 | Milazzo | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 16 |
| 7 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 15 |
| 8 | Igea Virtus | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 15 |
| 9 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 11 |
| 10 | Città di Gela | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
| 11 | Nissa FC | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 9 |
| 12 | Siracusa | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 8 |
| 13 | Vigor Lamezia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 8 |
| 14 | ASD CastrumFavara | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 8 |
| 15 | Modica | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 7 |
| 16 | Trapani | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 5 |
| 17 | ASD Ragusa | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 3 |
| 18 | Enna Calcio | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 22 | 2 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | Real Calepina FC |
|---|---|---|
| Club Milano | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| ASD Calcio Pavonese | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| ASD Villa D'Alme | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| Rovato Vertovese SSD | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Virtus Ciserano Bergamo (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Tritium Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 18/10 | AC Leon Monza Brianza Italy Serie D |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/10 | ASD Nibbiano e Valtidone Italy Serie D |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 04/10 | Virtus Verona Italy Serie D |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/09 | Club Milano Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 21/09 | AC Chievo Verona Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 16/09 | ASD Calcio Pavonese Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | ASD Villa D'Alme Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | Rovato Vertovese SSD Italy Serie D |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | USD Castellanzese Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
Real Calepina FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | ASD Calcio Pavonese Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 18/10 | Club Milano Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 11/10 | ASD Villa D'Alme Italy Serie D |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/10 | Rovato Vertovese SSD Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 27/09 | ASD Brusaporto Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 20/09 | Piacenza Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 16/09 | ASD Caldiero Terme Italy Serie D |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 12/09 | Scanzorosciate Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | Pro Palazzo Italy Serie D |
3-1 | 5-1 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Scanzorosciate Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Real Calepina FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Virtus Ciserano Bergamo win (36%). Probabilities: Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 36%, draw 29%, Real Calepina FC 35%.
How many goals are expected in Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Real Calepina FC?
The model expects 2.61 goals (Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 1.31 · Real Calepina FC 1.3), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Real Calepina FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.