Football · Italy Serie D · 13/09, 15:00

Prediction: A.C. Crema 1908 vs Pistoiese

Team pages: A.C. Crema 1908

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.09Total
A.C. Crema 19080.66
Pistoiese1.43
1X2
17% 27% 55%
A.C. Crema 1908 Draw Pistoiese
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-1 16%
Recent form · 10 last
A.C. Crema 1908 0-5-5 (W-D-L)
DDLDLLLDLD
Pistoiese 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
WWDWWDLDWW
Head-to-head
A.C. Crema 1908 0–2–2 Pistoiese (4 last)
  • Pistoiese4-2A.C. Crema 1908
  • A.C. Crema 19081-1Pistoiese
  • A.C. Crema 19080-1Pistoiese
  • Pistoiese1-1A.C. Crema 1908
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · A.C. Crema 1908 1450 · Pistoiese 1570
A.C. Crema 1908DrawPistoiese
Our model16%29%54%
Market18%26%56%
Estimated total (ours) 2.09 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pistoiese (rating 1450 vs 1570).
  • H2H favours Pistoiese: 2-2-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

A.C. Crema 1908Pistoiese
Goals for / against (FT)0.4 / 1.32.2 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.71 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)17/50/33%29/71/0%
Corners (HT / FT)0.8 / 2.73.6 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 0.32.7 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · A.C. Crema 1908 022 Pistoiese

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/04/26
Italy Serie D
Pistoiese4-2
HT 2-2
A.C. Crema 1908
23/11/25
Italy Serie D
A.C. Crema 19081-1Pistoiese
22/01/23
Italy Serie D
A.C. Crema 19080-1
HT 0-1
Pistoiese
18/09/22
Italy Serie D
Pistoiese1-1
HT 1-1
A.C. Crema 1908

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 1100 503
1 Reggina 1100 503
3 Vibonese 1100 403
4 ASD CastrumFavara 1100 303
5 Igea Virtus 1100 423
6 Nissa FC 1100 313
7 Sambiase 1100 213
8 ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio 1010 221
8 ASD Ragusa 1010 221
10 Calcio Avola 1949 1001 240
10 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 1001 240
12 Vigor Lamezia 1001 130
13 Milazzo 1001 030
14 Enna Calcio 1001 050
14 ASD Licata 1001 050
16 Città di Gela 1001 12-1
17 Siracusa 1100 42-4
18 Trapani 1001 04-5

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentA.C. Crema 1908Pistoiese
Cittadella Vis Modena 0-0 D 5-0 W
Desenzano 0-0 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 0 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Pistoiese (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

A.C. Crema 1908

DDLDLLLDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Pavia
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 37 D
03/05 Piacenza
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-3 24 L
26/04 Correggese
Italy Serie D
0-0 D
19/04 Pro Palazzo
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-2 24 L
12/04 Sangiuliano City FC
Italy Serie D
0-2 L
03/04 Pistoiese
Italy Serie D
2-2 2-4 30 L
29/03 Rovato Vertovese SSD
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 23 D
21/03 Imolese
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-2 43 L
15/03 Cittadella Vis Modena
Italy Serie D
0-0 D
01/03 Desenzano
Italy Serie D
0-0 D

Pistoiese

WWDWWDLDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Solbiatese Calcio 1911
Italy Serie D
0-0 2-0 90 W
03/05 Cittadella Vis Modena
Italy Serie D
5-0 W
26/04 Desenzano
Italy Serie D
1-1 D
19/04 Tropical Coriano
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 103 L
12/04 Pro Sesto
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 53 D
03/04 A.C. Crema 1908
Italy Serie D
2-2 4-2 30 W
29/03 A.C.D. Sant'Angelo
Italy Serie D
3-1 W
25/03 Lentigione
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 45 D
21/03 CS Trevigliese
Italy Serie D
4-0 5-0 41 W
28/02 SCD Progresso Calcio
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-0 48 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in A.C. Crema 1908 vs Pistoiese?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Pistoiese win (55%). Probabilities: A.C. Crema 1908 17%, draw 27%, Pistoiese 55%.

How many goals are expected in A.C. Crema 1908 vs Pistoiese?

The model expects 2.09 goals (A.C. Crema 1908 0.66 · Pistoiese 1.43), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in A.C. Crema 1908 vs Pistoiese?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.