Prediction: Oltrepò vs Pavia
Team pages: Pavia
- Oltrepò1-2Pavia
- Pavia0-0Oltrepò
- Oltrepò0-1Pavia
- Oltrepò0-2Pavia
| Oltrepò | Draw | Pavia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 31% | 25% |
| Market | 45% | 28% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Pavia: 3-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Oltrepò | Pavia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.4 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/67/0% | 50/38/13% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.2 | 2.1 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.2 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Oltrepò 0–1–3 Pavia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/26 Italy Serie D Cup | Oltrepò | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Pavia |
| 18/01/26 Italy Serie D | Pavia | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Oltrepò |
| 21/09/25 Italy Serie D | Oltrepò | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Pavia |
| 31/08/25 Italy Serie D Cup | Oltrepò | 0-2 | Pavia |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Reggina | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Vibonese | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | ASD CastrumFavara | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Igea Virtus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Nissa FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Sambiase | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | ASD Polisportiva Modica Calcio | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | ASD Ragusa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 | Vigor Lamezia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 | Milazzo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Enna Calcio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 | ASD Licata | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 | Città di Gela | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 | Siracusa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4 |
| 18 | Trapani | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -5 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Oltrepò | Pavia |
|---|---|---|
| ASD Villa D'Alme | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Scanzorosciate | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oltrepò
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Pro Patria Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | ASD Brusaporto Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | ASD Villa D'Alme Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | Sondrio Italy Serie D |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | US Folgore Caratese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 02/04 | Real Calepina FC Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 29/03 | US Breno Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 22/03 | Scanzorosciate Italy Serie D |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/03 | AC Milan U23 Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 01/03 | ASD Caldiero Terme Italy Serie D |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
Pavia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | A.C. Crema 1908 Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | AC Chievo Verona Italy Serie D |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo Italy Serie D |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | USD Casatese Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 12/04 | Scanzorosciate Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 02/04 | AC Leon Monza Brianza Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 28/03 | AVC Vogherese 1919 Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 22/03 | USD Castellanzese Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 15/03 | ASD Villa D'Alme Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 01/03 | ASD Varesina Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oltrepò vs Pavia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Oltrepò win (44%). Probabilities: Oltrepò 44%, draw 29%, Pavia 26%.
How many goals are expected in Oltrepò vs Pavia?
The model expects 2.16 goals (Oltrepò 1.26 · Pavia 0.91), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Oltrepò vs Pavia?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.