Football · Spain Tercera Group 11 · 14/11, 16:00

Prediction: CE Andratx vs Formentera

Team pages: Formentera

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.84Total

CE Andratx1.31

Formentera1.53

1X2

31% 28% 41%

CE Andratx Draw Formentera

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

CE Andratx 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LWDDLLLDLW

Formentera 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DDWDWLWLWL

Head-to-head

CE Andratx 2–1–3 Formentera (6 last)

CE Andratx0-0Formentera
Formentera2-3CE Andratx
CE Andratx3-0Formentera
Formentera2-0CE Andratx
Formentera2-1CE Andratx
CE Andratx1-2Formentera

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CE Andratx 1463 · Formentera 1513

	CE Andratx	Draw	Formentera
Our model	32%	27%	41%
Market	31%	28%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.84 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Formentera (rating 1463 vs 1513).
H2H favours Formentera: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 12.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CE Andratx	Formentera
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2	1.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	0/100/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 1.6	1.5 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6 / 0.4	6.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.25

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
17:04 +7’	2.88	3.25	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CE Andratx 2–1–3 Formentera

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
20/04/24 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3	CE Andratx	0-0 HT 0-0	Formentera
10/12/23 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3	Formentera	2-3 HT 2-2	CE Andratx
08/05/22 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3	CE Andratx	3-0 HT 0-0	Formentera
19/12/21 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3	Formentera	2-0 HT 1-0	CE Andratx
23/05/21 Spain Tercera Group 11	Formentera	2-1	CE Andratx
01/05/21 Spain Tercera Group 11	CE Andratx	1-2	Formentera

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 11

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Platges de Calvia	10	8	0	2	22	8	24
2	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	10	7	3	0	16	2	24
3	Manacor	10	6	3	1	21	10	21
4	CE Constancia	10	5	4	1	16	6	19
5	UE Porreres	10	6	0	4	15	10	18
6	PE Sant Jordi	9	4	4	1	16	10	16
7	Llosetense	10	5	1	4	11	11	16
8	Formentera	9	4	2	3	13	8	14
9	CD Cardassar	10	4	2	4	18	14	14
10	Santanyi	9	3	5	1	10	6	14
11	Binissalem	9	4	1	4	14	13	13
12	Alcudia	10	4	0	6	13	18	12
13	CE Andratx	10	2	3	5	15	20	9
14	Mercadal	10	2	3	5	10	17	9
15	CE Sineu	10	2	2	6	9	19	8
16	CD Migjorn	10	1	2	7	10	23	5
17	Inter Ibiza	10	1	2	7	6	24	5
18	UD Arenal	10	1	1	8	6	22	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CE Andratx	Formentera
CE Sineu	2-4 L	0-1 L
CD Migjorn	4-4 D	2-0 W
Platges de Calvia	0-1 L	2-3 L
Manacor	1-2 L	2-0 W
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	0-0 D	0-2 L
PE Sant Jordi	2-2 D	3-0 W
Llosetense	1-0 W	0-0 D
UE Porreres	0-2 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 4 L	4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Formentera (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CE Andratx

LWDDLLLDLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	CD Cardassar Spain Tercera Group 11	2-1	3-2	2	5	W
31/10	CE Sineu Spain Tercera Group 11	–	2-4	–	–	L
24/10	CD Migjorn Spain Tercera Group 11	1-1	4-4	2	5	D
17/10	Platges de Calvia Spain Tercera Group 11	0-0	0-1	2	8	L
10/10	Binissalem Spain Tercera Group 11	–	2-3	–	–	L
03/10	Manacor Spain Tercera Group 11	–	1-2	–	–	L
26/09	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas Spain Tercera Group 11	–	0-0	–	–	D
20/09	PE Sant Jordi Spain Tercera Group 11	1-0	2-2	1	9	D
12/09	Llosetense Spain Tercera Group 11	0-0	1-0	1	5	W
06/09	UE Porreres Spain Tercera Group 11	–	0-2	–	–	L

Formentera

DDWDWLWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	CE Sineu Spain Tercera Group 11	–	0-1	–	–	L
01/11	CD Migjorn Spain Tercera Group 11	–	2-0	–	–	W
24/10	Platges de Calvia Spain Tercera Group 11	–	2-3	–	–	L
11/10	Manacor Spain Tercera Group 11	–	2-0	–	–	W
04/10	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas Spain Tercera Group 11	0-0	0-2	4	7	L
27/09	PE Sant Jordi Spain Tercera Group 11	–	3-0	–	–	W
19/09	Llosetense Spain Tercera Group 11	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
13/09	UE Porreres Spain Tercera Group 11	–	3-1	–	–	W
05/09	Mercadal Spain Tercera Group 11	–	1-1	–	–	D
10/05	Llosetense Spain Tercera Group 11	–	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CE Andratx vs Formentera?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Formentera win (41%). Probabilities: CE Andratx 31%, draw 28%, Formentera 41%.

How many goals are expected in CE Andratx vs Formentera?

The model expects 2.84 goals (CE Andratx 1.31 · Formentera 1.53), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CE Andratx vs Formentera?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.