Football · Spain Tercera Group 11 · 14/11, 17:30
Prediction: Platges de Calvia vs Santanyi
Team pages: Platges de Calvia · Santanyi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.41Total
Platges de Calvia1.6
Santanyi0.81
1X2
Platges de Calvia
Draw
Santanyi
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Platges de Calvia
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Santanyi
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Platges de Calvia
3–2–1
Santanyi
(6 last)
- Platges de Calvia0-1Santanyi
- Santanyi1-3Platges de Calvia
- Platges de Calvia2-1Santanyi
- Santanyi0-0Platges de Calvia
- Santanyi0-0Platges de Calvia
- Platges de Calvia1-0Santanyi
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Platges de Calvia 1569 · Santanyi 1517
| Platges de Calvia | Draw | Santanyi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 27% | 18% |
| Market | 56% | 25% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Platges de Calvia (rating 1569 vs 1517).
- H2H favours Platges de Calvia: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Platges de Calvia | Santanyi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 67/17/17% | 67/0/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 6.6 | 1.7 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.2 | 4.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Platges de Calvia 3–2–1 Santanyi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 Spain Tercera Group 11 | Platges de Calvia | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Santanyi |
| 26/10/25 Spain Tercera Group 11 | Santanyi | 1-3 | Platges de Calvia |
| 04/05/25 Spain Tercera Group 11 | Platges de Calvia | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Santanyi |
| 21/12/24 Spain Tercera Group 11 | Santanyi | 0-0 | Platges de Calvia |
| 23/03/24 Spain Tercera Group 11 | Santanyi | 0-0 | Platges de Calvia |
| 04/11/23 Spain Tercera Group 11 | Platges de Calvia | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Santanyi |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 11
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Platges de Calvia | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 24 |
| 3 | Manacor | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | CE Constancia | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 19 |
| 5 | UE Porreres | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 18 |
| 6 | PE Sant Jordi | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 16 |
| 7 | Llosetense | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 16 |
| 8 | Formentera | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 14 |
| 9 | CD Cardassar | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 14 |
| 10 | Santanyi | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 14 |
| 11 | Binissalem | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 13 |
| 12 | Alcudia | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 12 |
| 13 | CE Andratx | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | 9 |
| 14 | Mercadal | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 9 |
| 15 | CE Sineu | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 8 |
| 16 | CD Migjorn | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 5 |
| 17 | Inter Ibiza | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 5 |
| 18 | UD Arenal | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Platges de Calvia | Santanyi |
|---|---|---|
| CD Cardassar | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Binissalem | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Manacor | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Ibiza Islas Pitiusas | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 3 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Platges de Calvia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | UD Arenal Spain Tercera Group 11 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 31/10 | Inter Ibiza Spain Tercera Group 11 |
2-0 | 5-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 24/10 | Formentera Spain Tercera Group 11 |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 17/10 | CE Andratx Spain Tercera Group 11 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 10/10 | CE Sineu Spain Tercera Group 11 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/10 | CD Migjorn Spain Tercera Group 11 |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/09 | CD Cardassar Spain Tercera Group 11 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/09 | Binissalem Spain Tercera Group 11 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 12/09 | Manacor Spain Tercera Group 11 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 06/09 | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas Spain Tercera Group 11 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
Santanyi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Binissalem Spain Tercera Group 11 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 31/10 | Manacor Spain Tercera Group 11 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 24/10 | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas Spain Tercera Group 11 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 11/10 | Llosetense Spain Tercera Group 11 |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/10 | UE Porreres Spain Tercera Group 11 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 26/09 | Mercadal Spain Tercera Group 11 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/09 | Alcudia Spain Tercera Group 11 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | CE Constancia Spain Tercera Group 11 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 06/09 | CD Cardassar Spain Tercera Group 11 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | Felanitx Spain Tercera Group 11 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Platges de Calvia vs Santanyi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Platges de Calvia win (56%). Probabilities: Platges de Calvia 56%, draw 26%, Santanyi 18%.
How many goals are expected in Platges de Calvia vs Santanyi?
The model expects 2.41 goals (Platges de Calvia 1.6 · Santanyi 0.81), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Platges de Calvia vs Santanyi?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.