Football · Spain Tercera Group 11 · 15/11, 16:00

Prediction: Manacor vs Alcudia

Team pages: Manacor · Alcudia

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.42Total

Manacor2.57

Alcudia0.85

1X2

73% 17% 9%

Manacor Draw Alcudia

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Manacor 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLDDDW

Alcudia 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WWLLLWWLLL

Head-to-head

Manacor 2–2–2 Alcudia (6 last)

Alcudia2-2Manacor
Manacor3-0Alcudia
Manacor0-0Alcudia
Alcudia4-2Manacor
Alcudia2-0Manacor
Manacor2-1Alcudia

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Manacor 1535 · Alcudia 1466

	Manacor	Draw	Alcudia
Our model	74%	17%	10%
Market	73%	17%	9%

Estimated total (ours) 3.42 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Manacor (rating 1535 vs 1466).
High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Manacor	Alcudia
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1	1.3 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/0/50%	14/29/57%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 8	3 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0	5.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.22

X5.25

29.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.85

2 (+1.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22
X	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
2	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
16:46 +34’	1.22	5.25	9.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Manacor 2–2–2 Alcudia

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/01/26 Spain Tercera Group 11	Alcudia	2-2 HT 0-2	Manacor
06/09/25 Spain Tercera Group 11	Manacor	3-0	Alcudia
05/04/25 Spain Tercera Group 11	Manacor	0-0	Alcudia
23/11/24 Spain Tercera Group 11	Alcudia	4-2	Manacor
01/03/24 Spain Tercera Group 11	Alcudia	2-0 HT 1-0	Manacor
12/10/23 Spain Tercera Group 11	Manacor	2-1	Alcudia

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 11

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Platges de Calvia	10	8	0	2	22	8	24
2	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	10	7	3	0	16	2	24
3	Manacor	10	6	3	1	21	10	21
4	CE Constancia	10	5	4	1	16	6	19
5	UE Porreres	10	6	0	4	15	10	18
6	PE Sant Jordi	9	4	4	1	16	10	16
7	Llosetense	10	5	1	4	11	11	16
8	Formentera	9	4	2	3	13	8	14
9	CD Cardassar	10	4	2	4	18	14	14
10	Santanyi	9	3	5	1	10	6	14
11	Binissalem	9	4	1	4	14	13	13
12	Alcudia	10	4	0	6	13	18	12
13	CE Andratx	10	2	3	5	15	20	9
14	Mercadal	10	2	3	5	10	17	9
15	CE Sineu	10	2	2	6	9	19	8
16	CD Migjorn	10	1	2	7	10	23	5
17	Inter Ibiza	10	1	2	7	6	24	5
18	UD Arenal	10	1	1	8	6	22	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Manacor	Alcudia
Inter Ibiza	3-0 W	5-0 W
CE Constancia	1-1 D	0-2 L
Santanyi	1-1 D	1-2 L
UD Arenal	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Manacor

WWWWWLDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/11	Inter Ibiza Spain Tercera Group 11	1-0	3-0	7	4	W
07/11	CE Constancia Spain Tercera Group 11	–	1-1	–	–	D
31/10	Santanyi Spain Tercera Group 11	–	1-1	–	–	D
21/10	UD Arenal Spain Tercera Group 11	0-1	1-1	9	5	D
11/10	Formentera Spain Tercera Group 11	–	0-2	–	–	L
03/10	CE Andratx Spain Tercera Group 11	–	2-1	–	–	W
27/09	CE Sineu Spain Tercera Group 11	–	4-1	–	–	W
19/09	CD Migjorn Spain Tercera Group 11	–	5-1	–	–	W
12/09	Platges de Calvia Spain Tercera Group 11	–	2-1	–	–	W
05/09	Binissalem Spain Tercera Group 11	–	2-1	–	–	W

Alcudia

WWLLLWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas Spain Tercera Group 11	0-3	0-3	3	6	L
04/11	UE Porreres Spain Tercera Group 11	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
31/10	PE Sant Jordi Spain Tercera Group 11	0-1	0-3	5	7	L
24/10	Llosetense Spain Tercera Group 11	–	2-0	–	–	W
10/10	Mercadal Spain Tercera Group 11	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
04/10	CD Cardassar Spain Tercera Group 11	–	2-6	–	–	L
26/09	CE Constancia Spain Tercera Group 11	0-1	0-2	5	8	L
19/09	Santanyi Spain Tercera Group 11	0-1	1-2	8	4	L
12/09	UD Arenal Spain Tercera Group 11	2-1	2-1	7	4	W
06/09	Inter Ibiza Spain Tercera Group 11	–	5-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Manacor vs Alcudia?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Manacor win (73%). Probabilities: Manacor 73%, draw 17%, Alcudia 9%.

How many goals are expected in Manacor vs Alcudia?

The model expects 3.42 goals (Manacor 2.57 · Alcudia 0.85), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Manacor vs Alcudia?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.