Football · Colombia Liga Femenina · 12/08, 00:00
Prediction: Orsomarso (W) vs Deportivo Pasto (W)
Team pages: Orsomarso (W) · Deportivo Pasto (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
Orsomarso (W)1.59
Deportivo Pasto (W)0.72
1X2
Orsomarso (W)
Draw
Deportivo Pasto (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Orsomarso (W)
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Pasto (W)
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Orsomarso (W)
1–0
Deportivo Pasto (W)
(1 last)
- Deportivo Pasto (W)2-3Orsomarso (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Orsomarso (W) 1515 · Deportivo Pasto (W) 1431
| Orsomarso (W) | Draw | Deportivo Pasto (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 27% | 16% |
| Market | 58% | 26% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Orsomarso (W) (rating 1515 vs 1431).
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Orsomarso (W) | Deportivo Pasto (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.6 | 1.9 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.4 | 4.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Orsomarso (W) 1–0–0 Deportivo Pasto (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/05/25 Colombia Liga Femenina | Deportivo Pasto (W) | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Orsomarso (W) |
Standings · Colombia Liga Femenina
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional (W) | 16 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 9 | 39 |
| 2 | Deportivo Cali (W) | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 33 | 10 | 38 |
| 3 | Millonarios (W) | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 35 |
| 4 | America de Cali (W) | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 8 | 32 |
| 5 | Internacional de Bogota (W) | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 14 | 29 |
| 6 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 11 | 25 |
| 8 | Independiente Medellin (W) | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 19 | 19 |
| 9 | Orsomarso (W) | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 19 |
| 10 | Fortaleza CEIF (W) | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 16 |
| 11 | Atletico Bucaramanga (W) | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 14 |
| 12 | Llaneros (W) | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 13 |
| 13 | Junior (W) | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 12 |
| 14 | CD Real Santander (W) | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 22 | 10 |
| 15 | Once Caldas (W) | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 8 |
| 16 | Deportivo Pasto (W) | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 25 | 7 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Orsomarso (W) | Deportivo Pasto (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Independiente Medellin (W) | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Internacional de Bogota (W) | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Once Caldas (W) | 1-1 D | 4-1 W |
| Atletico Nacional (W) | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Fortaleza CEIF (W) | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Orsomarso (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | CD Real Santander (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 29/05 | Junior (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-0 | 5-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Independiente Medellin (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 17/05 | Internacional de Bogota (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 10 | L |
| 11/05 | Once Caldas (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | Atletico Nacional (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 12/04 | Atletico Bucaramanga (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 29/03 | Fortaleza CEIF (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
Deportivo Pasto (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Internacional de Bogota (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 26/07 | Once Caldas (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
3-1 | 4-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 29/05 | Deportivo Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Atletico Nacional (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 18/05 | America de Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Fortaleza CEIF (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 04/05 | Once Caldas (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 11/04 | Millonarios (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 11 | L |
| 31/03 | Independiente Medellin (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Orsomarso (W) vs Deportivo Pasto (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Orsomarso (W) win (57%). Probabilities: Orsomarso (W) 57%, draw 27%, Deportivo Pasto (W) 16%.
How many goals are expected in Orsomarso (W) vs Deportivo Pasto (W)?
The model expects 2.31 goals (Orsomarso (W) 1.59 · Deportivo Pasto (W) 0.72), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Orsomarso (W) vs Deportivo Pasto (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.