Football · Colombia Liga Femenina · 12/08, 00:00
Prediction: Independiente Medellin (W) vs America de Cali (W)
Team pages: Independiente Medellin (W) · America de Cali (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.29Total
Independiente Medellin (W)0.8
America de Cali (W)1.49
1X2
Independiente Medellin (W)
Draw
America de Cali (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
0-1
Recent form · 10 last
Independiente Medellin (W)
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
America de Cali (W)
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Independiente Medellin (W)
2–4
America de Cali (W)
(6 last)
- America de Cali (W)2-0Independiente Medellin (W)
- Independiente Medellin (W)2-3America de Cali (W)
- America de Cali (W)2-0Independiente Medellin (W)
- America de Cali (W)1-2Independiente Medellin (W)
- Independiente Medellin (W)0-1America de Cali (W)
- America de Cali (W)2-4Independiente Medellin (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Independiente Medellin (W) 1474 · America de Cali (W) 1532
| Independiente Medellin (W) | Draw | America de Cali (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 29% | 52% |
| Market | 20% | 27% | 53% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours America de Cali (W) (rating 1474 vs 1532).
- H2H favours America de Cali (W): 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Independiente Medellin (W) | America de Cali (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.4 | 1.5 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/80/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.4 | 2.3 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.6 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Independiente Medellin (W) 2–0–4 America de Cali (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/25 Colombia Liga Femenina | America de Cali (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Independiente Medellin (W) |
| 07/04/24 Colombia Liga Femenina | Independiente Medellin (W) | 2-3 HT 2-0 | America de Cali (W) |
| 20/03/23 Colombia Liga Femenina | America de Cali (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Independiente Medellin (W) |
| 17/04/22 Colombia Liga Femenina | America de Cali (W) | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Independiente Medellin (W) |
| 08/08/21 Colombia Liga Femenina | Independiente Medellin (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | America de Cali (W) |
| 10/07/21 Colombia Liga Femenina | America de Cali (W) | 2-4 HT 2-2 | Independiente Medellin (W) |
Standings · Colombia Liga Femenina
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional (W) | 16 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 9 | 39 |
| 2 | Deportivo Cali (W) | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 33 | 10 | 38 |
| 3 | Millonarios (W) | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 35 |
| 4 | America de Cali (W) | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 8 | 32 |
| 5 | Internacional de Bogota (W) | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 14 | 29 |
| 6 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 11 | 25 |
| 8 | Independiente Medellin (W) | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 19 | 19 |
| 9 | Orsomarso (W) | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 19 |
| 10 | Fortaleza CEIF (W) | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 16 |
| 11 | Atletico Bucaramanga (W) | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 14 |
| 12 | Llaneros (W) | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 13 |
| 13 | Junior (W) | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 12 |
| 14 | CD Real Santander (W) | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 22 | 10 |
| 15 | Once Caldas (W) | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 8 |
| 16 | Deportivo Pasto (W) | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 25 | 7 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Independiente Medellin (W) | America de Cali (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza CEIF (W) | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Millonarios (W) | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Independiente Santa Fe (W) | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Deportivo Pasto (W) | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: America de Cali (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Independiente Medellin (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Fortaleza CEIF (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 24/07 | Atletico Nacional (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 04/06 | Millonarios (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-2 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Orsomarso (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 17/05 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Atletico Bucaramanga (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 01/05 | Atletico Nacional (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 28/04 | Once Caldas (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
3-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 16/04 | Junior (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 31/03 | Deportivo Pasto (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
America de Cali (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Llaneros (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
3-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 24/07 | Deportivo Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 29/05 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
3-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 23/05 | Internacional de Bogota (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 18/05 | Deportivo Pasto (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 11/05 | Millonarios (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Deportivo Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 23/04 | CD Real Santander (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 03/04 | Fortaleza CEIF (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 28/03 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Independiente Medellin (W) vs America de Cali (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an America de Cali (W) win (53%). Probabilities: Independiente Medellin (W) 19%, draw 28%, America de Cali (W) 53%.
How many goals are expected in Independiente Medellin (W) vs America de Cali (W)?
The model expects 2.29 goals (Independiente Medellin (W) 0.8 · America de Cali (W) 1.49), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Independiente Medellin (W) vs America de Cali (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.