Football · Finland Veikkausliiga · 15/08, 16:00

Prediction: AC Oulu vs FC Inter

Team pages: AC Oulu · FC Inter

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.17Total

AC Oulu0.97

FC Inter1.19

1X2

30% 30% 41%

AC Oulu Draw FC Inter

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

AC Oulu 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WDWLDLLDWL

FC Inter 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WDWDDLWWWD

Head-to-head

AC Oulu 2–1–3 FC Inter (6 last)

FC Inter0-0AC Oulu
FC Inter2-1AC Oulu
FC Inter3-2AC Oulu
AC Oulu1-4FC Inter
AC Oulu1-0FC Inter
AC Oulu1-0FC Inter

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AC Oulu 1464 · FC Inter 1567

	AC Oulu	Draw	FC Inter
Our model	29%	32%	40%
Market	30%	28%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.17 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Inter (rating 1464 vs 1567).
H2H favours FC Inter: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AC Oulu	FC Inter
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.5	1.3 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.9	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 6.5	2.3 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.2	2.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.25

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.6%

Time*	1	X	2
16:19 +2’	3.00	3.25	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · AC Oulu 2–1–3 FC Inter

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 Finland Veikkausliiga	FC Inter	0-0 HT 0-0	AC Oulu
21/03/26 Finland Liigacup	FC Inter	2-1 HT 1-0	AC Oulu
08/08/25 Finland Veikkausliiga	FC Inter	3-2 HT 1-0	AC Oulu
26/04/25 Finland Veikkausliiga	AC Oulu	1-4 HT 1-2	FC Inter
24/09/24 Finland Veikkausliiga	AC Oulu	1-0 HT 1-0	FC Inter
10/08/24 Finland Veikkausliiga	AC Oulu	1-0 HT 1-0	FC Inter

Standings · Finland Veikkausliiga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	KuPS Kuopio	19	11	7	1	34	17	40
2	FC Inter	19	9	8	2	25	14	35
3	HJK Helsinki	19	9	4	6	29	23	31
4	VPS Vaasa	19	8	6	5	27	18	30
5	AC Oulu	19	9	3	7	22	22	30
6	IF Gnistan	19	8	5	6	29	24	29
7	FC Lahti	19	7	5	7	22	16	26
8	TPS	19	7	5	7	24	21	26
9	FC Ilves	19	7	4	8	31	31	25
10	SJK	19	4	6	9	24	29	18
11	FF Jaro	19	3	6	10	18	38	15
12	IFK Mariehamn	19	0	5	14	9	41	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AC Oulu	FC Inter
IF Gnistan	0-2 L	1-2 L
FC Lahti	1-1 D	0-0 D
VPS Vaasa	1-5 L	1-0 W
FF Jaro	2-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Inter (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

AC Oulu

WDWLDLLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	0-1	3	6	L
02/08	FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
25/07	IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	1-1	9	5	D
18/07	IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	0-2	10	5	L
11/07	TPS Finland Veikkausliiga	0-3	0-3	9	2	L
27/06	FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-1	8	5	D
23/06	VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga	1-3	1-5	3	2	L
18/06	IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	2-1	7	5	W
13/06	FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
31/05	FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	2-1	6	3	W

FC Inter

WDWDDLWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	9	4	D
06/08	FC Vaduz UEFA Conference League Qualifying	1-0	2-1	6	5	W
02/08	VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
30/07	Istanbul Basaksehir UEFA Conference League Qualifying	1-0	2-0	1	5	W
26/07	IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga	0-2	1-2	4	2	L
22/07	Istanbul Basaksehir UEFA Conference League Qualifying	1-0	1-1	1	3	D
19/07	FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	12	1	D
16/07	FK Sarajevo UEFA Conference League Qualifying	0-1	2-1	4	2	W
09/07	FK Sarajevo UEFA Conference League Qualifying	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
30/06	VPS Vaasa Finland Cup	0-1	3-2	4	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AC Oulu vs FC Inter?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Inter win (41%). Probabilities: AC Oulu 30%, draw 30%, FC Inter 41%.

How many goals are expected in AC Oulu vs FC Inter?

The model expects 2.17 goals (AC Oulu 0.97 · FC Inter 1.19), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in AC Oulu vs FC Inter?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.