Football · Spain Tercera Group 12 · 15/11, 13:00

Prediction: CD Marino vs Tenerife C

Team pages: CD Marino · Tenerife C

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

CD Marino1.77

Tenerife C1.15

1X2

51% 26% 23%

CD Marino Draw Tenerife C

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Marino 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWDWLWWLDD

Tenerife C 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLDWLWWWDL

Head-to-head

CD Marino 2–0 Tenerife C (2 last)

Tenerife C0-2CD Marino
CD Marino1-0Tenerife C

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Marino 1528 · Tenerife C 1494

	CD Marino	Draw	Tenerife C
Our model	51%	26%	24%
Market	51%	26%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CD Marino: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 13.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Marino	Tenerife C
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.2	1.7 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/33/17%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.3	1.8 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.5 / 0.3	6.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.40

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Pinn 1.80
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.42
2	3.80 → 3.80	Pinn 3.99 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.9% Pinnacle margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
12:08 +29’	1.75	3.40	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:13 +2’	1.80	3.42	3.99

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Marino 2–0–0 Tenerife C

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/01/26 Spain Tercera Group 12	Tenerife C	0-2 HT 0-2	CD Marino
21/09/25 Spain Tercera Group 12	CD Marino	1-0 HT 0-0	Tenerife C

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 12

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	UD San Fernando	10	8	1	1	25	7	25
2	Panaderia Pulido	10	7	2	1	31	14	23
3	CD Arcangel San Miguel	10	7	1	2	21	9	22
4	Real Union de Tenerife	10	6	2	2	15	9	20
5	Las Palmas C	10	4	4	2	20	12	16
6	Union Sur Yaiza	10	5	1	4	14	11	16
7	CD Marino	10	4	3	3	18	12	15
8	Tenerife C	9	4	2	3	17	15	14
9	Llanos Aridane	9	4	1	4	12	9	13
10	Estrella CF	10	4	1	5	12	15	13
11	Mensajero	10	3	4	3	12	17	13
12	Lanzarote	10	2	6	2	10	12	12
13	CF San Bartolome	10	2	4	4	13	16	10
14	Villa Sta Brigida	10	2	4	4	9	14	10
15	UD Anaza	10	2	3	5	10	18	9
16	SD Villaverde Norte	10	1	2	7	7	24	5
17	UD Playas de Sotavento	10	0	4	6	7	25	4
18	CD Laguna	10	0	3	7	10	24	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Marino	Tenerife C
Mensajero	1-1 D	0-1 L
Villa Sta Brigida	1-1 D	2-1 W
Panaderia Pulido	1-2 L	3-3 D
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Tenerife C (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Marino

LWDWLWWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Mensajero Spain Tercera Group 12	–	1-1	–	–	D
01/11	Villa Sta Brigida Spain Tercera Group 12	1-0	1-1	11	6	D
25/10	Lanzarote Spain Tercera Group 12	–	0-1	–	–	L
21/10	Llanos Aridane Spain Tercera Group 12	–	2-1	–	–	W
18/10	Estrella CF Spain Tercera Group 12	1-0	1-0	4	8	W
10/10	Union Sur Yaiza Spain Tercera Group 12	–	1-2	–	–	L
04/10	UD Playas de Sotavento Spain Tercera Group 12	4-0	6-1	6	3	W
26/09	CD Laguna Spain Tercera Group 12	1-2	2-2	4	10	D
18/09	Real Union de Tenerife Spain Tercera Group 12	0-0	3-1	0	6	W
13/09	Panaderia Pulido Spain Tercera Group 12	1-1	1-2	1	8	L

Tenerife C

LLDWLWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	UD San Fernando Spain Tercera Group 12	–	0-2	–	–	L
24/10	Las Palmas C Spain Tercera Group 12	0-0	1-1	2	8	D
21/10	Villa Sta Brigida Spain Tercera Group 12	2-0	2-1	1	5	W
17/10	CF San Bartolome Spain Tercera Group 12	–	4-2	–	–	W
10/10	SD Villaverde Norte Spain Tercera Group 12	–	4-1	–	–	W
03/10	CD Arcangel San Miguel Spain Tercera Group 12	0-0	0-2	2	6	L
25/09	UD Anaza Spain Tercera Group 12	0-1	3-2	5	7	W
19/09	Panaderia Pulido Spain Tercera Group 12	2-2	3-3	4	7	D
13/09	Mensajero Spain Tercera Group 12	–	0-1	–	–	L
10/05	CF San Bartolome Spain Tercera Group 12	–	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Marino vs Tenerife C?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Marino win (51%). Probabilities: CD Marino 51%, draw 26%, Tenerife C 23%.

How many goals are expected in CD Marino vs Tenerife C?

The model expects 2.92 goals (CD Marino 1.77 · Tenerife C 1.15), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Marino vs Tenerife C?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.