Football · Spain Tercera Group 2 · 15/11, 17:00

Prediction: L'Entregu CF vs Andes CF

Team pages: L'Entregu CF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.65Total

L'Entregu CF1.93

Andes CF0.71

1X2

66% 22% 12%

L'Entregu CF Draw Andes CF

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

2-0 13%

Recent form · 10 last

L'Entregu CF 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Andes CF 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · L'Entregu CF 1425 · Andes CF 1412

	L'Entregu CF	Draw	Andes CF
Our model	65%	23%	12%
Market	66%	21%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	L'Entregu CF	Andes CF
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 1.8	0.8 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.8	0 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	13/38/50%	0/0/100%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.5	0.5 / 2.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	3 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.36

X4.33

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.82

2 (+1.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.36▼	Bet365 1.36
X	3.90 → 4.33▲	Bet365 4.33
2	5.25 → 7.00▲	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
16:42 +40’	1.50	3.90	5.25
13:10 +6’	1.36▼	4.33▲	7.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Spain Tercera Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Covadonga	10	7	2	1	26	11	23
2	Sporting Gijon B	10	6	3	1	17	9	21
3	Lealtad	10	6	2	2	14	4	20
4	Condal	10	5	5	0	13	4	20
5	Caudal	10	5	3	2	13	10	18
6	Gijon Industrial	10	5	2	3	16	11	17
7	Mosconia	10	4	4	2	16	14	16
8	El San Martin	10	4	3	3	13	14	15
9	Praviano	10	4	2	4	21	15	14
10	UP Langreo	10	3	3	4	11	13	12
11	Siero	10	4	0	6	11	14	12
12	CD Colunga	10	3	3	4	17	24	12
13	Aviles Stadium CF	10	3	2	5	8	13	11
14	Llanes	10	2	4	4	11	17	10
15	UC Ceares	10	2	3	5	12	14	9
16	Oviedo Astur	10	0	6	4	9	15	6
17	L'Entregu CF	10	1	2	7	5	18	5
18	Andes CF	10	0	3	7	8	21	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	L'Entregu CF	Andes CF
Condal	0-1 L	0-2 L
Gijon Industrial	1-4 L	0-3 L
Mosconia	1-3 L	0-1 L
El San Martin	1-1 D	1-1 D
Siero	0-3 L	0-2 L
CD Colunga	0-0 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 4 L	0 W 1 D 5 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

L'Entregu CF

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Condal Spain Tercera Group 2	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
31/10	Gijon Industrial Spain Tercera Group 2	0-1	1-4	7	4	L
25/10	Mosconia Spain Tercera Group 2	0-1	1-3	4	4	L
18/10	El San Martin Spain Tercera Group 2	–	1-1	–	–	D
10/10	Siero Spain Tercera Group 2	0-3	0-3	6	5	L
03/10	CD Colunga Spain Tercera Group 2	0-0	0-0	4	0	D
26/09	Caudal Spain Tercera Group 2	0-1	0-2	9	6	L
20/09	UP Langreo Spain Tercera Group 2	0-0	1-3	4	3	L
13/09	Aviles Stadium CF Spain Tercera Group 2	1-0	1-0	0	5	W
06/09	Lealtad Spain Tercera Group 2	–	0-1	–	–	L

Andes CF

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Covadonga Spain Tercera Group 2	–	2-3	–	–	L
01/11	UC Ceares Spain Tercera Group 2	0-1	0-3	4	4	L
25/10	Oviedo Astur Spain Tercera Group 2	–	3-3	–	–	D
18/10	Llanes Spain Tercera Group 2	–	1-1	–	–	D
11/10	Condal Spain Tercera Group 2	–	0-2	–	–	L
04/10	Gijon Industrial Spain Tercera Group 2	–	0-3	–	–	L
26/09	Mosconia Spain Tercera Group 2	0-1	0-1	1	3	L
20/09	El San Martin Spain Tercera Group 2	–	1-1	–	–	D
13/09	Siero Spain Tercera Group 2	–	0-2	–	–	L
06/09	CD Colunga Spain Tercera Group 2	–	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in L'Entregu CF vs Andes CF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a L'Entregu CF win (66%). Probabilities: L'Entregu CF 66%, draw 22%, Andes CF 12%.

How many goals are expected in L'Entregu CF vs Andes CF?

The model expects 2.65 goals (L'Entregu CF 1.93 · Andes CF 0.71), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in L'Entregu CF vs Andes CF?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.