Football · Spain Tercera Group 8 · 24/10, 16:15

Prediction: CD Virgen Del Camino vs Mirandes B

Team pages: CD Virgen Del Camino · Mirandes B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.45Total

CD Virgen Del Camino1.33

Mirandes B1.12

1X2

40% 30% 30%

CD Virgen Del Camino Draw Mirandes B

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Virgen Del Camino 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Mirandes B 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLWLDLLLLD

Head-to-head

CD Virgen Del Camino 1–3–2 Mirandes B (6 last)

Mirandes B1-1CD Virgen Del Camino
CD Virgen Del Camino1-1Mirandes B
Mirandes B3-1CD Virgen Del Camino
CD Virgen Del Camino1-0Mirandes B
Mirandes B2-1CD Virgen Del Camino
CD Virgen Del Camino1-1Mirandes B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Virgen Del Camino 1484 · Mirandes B 1415

	CD Virgen Del Camino	Draw	Mirandes B
Our model	40%	30%	30%
Market	40%	30%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Virgen Del Camino (rating 1484 vs 1415).
H2H favours Mirandes B: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Virgen Del Camino	Mirandes B
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.7	0.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/0/75%	14/71/14%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.5	2 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.00

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 21.82

Under 21.98

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:03 +26’	2.25	3.00	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Virgen Del Camino 1–3–2 Mirandes B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Spain Tercera Group 8	Mirandes B	1-1 HT 0-0	CD Virgen Del Camino
08/11/25 Spain Tercera Group 8	CD Virgen Del Camino	1-1	Mirandes B
04/05/25 Spain Tercera Group 8	Mirandes B	3-1 HT 1-0	CD Virgen Del Camino
05/01/25 Spain Tercera Group 8	CD Virgen Del Camino	1-0 HT 0-0	Mirandes B
14/04/24 Spain Tercera Group 8	Mirandes B	2-1	CD Virgen Del Camino
25/11/23 Spain Tercera Group 8	CD Virgen Del Camino	1-1	Mirandes B

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 8

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cristo Atletico	7	5	1	1	11	4	16
1	Cultural Leonesa B	7	5	1	1	11	4	16
3	Burgos Promesas	7	4	2	1	10	3	14
4	At. Bembibre	7	4	2	1	10	6	14
5	UD Santa Marta	7	4	2	1	9	5	14
6	CDA Palencia	7	4	1	2	13	7	13
7	CD Virgen Del Camino	7	4	0	3	9	10	12
8	CD Atletico Mansilles	6	3	1	2	7	5	10
9	Almazan	7	2	4	1	11	12	10
10	Guijuelo	6	3	0	3	11	6	9
11	Arandina	7	2	3	2	9	10	9
12	CD Calasanz	7	2	1	4	7	12	7
13	Villaralbo	7	1	3	3	11	11	6
14	Turegano CF	7	1	3	3	8	11	6
15	Unionistas de Salamanca CF B	7	1	2	4	7	12	5
16	CD Colegios Diocesanos	7	1	1	5	5	13	4
17	Salamanca B	7	1	1	5	7	18	4
18	Mirandes B	7	0	2	5	2	9	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Virgen Del Camino	Mirandes B
Guijuelo	1-5 L	0-2 L
CD Atletico Mansilles	1-0 W	0-1 L
At. Bembibre	0-2 L	1-1 D
CDA Palencia	2-3 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Virgen Del Camino

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Guijuelo Spain Tercera Group 8	–	1-5	–	–	L
10/10	CD Atletico Mansilles Spain Tercera Group 8	–	1-0	–	–	W
04/10	At. Bembibre Spain Tercera Group 8	0-1	0-2	7	3	L
26/09	Cristo Atletico Spain Tercera Group 8	–	0-1	–	–	L
19/09	Turegano CF Spain Tercera Group 8	–	1-0	–	–	W
12/09	CD Calasanz Spain Tercera Group 8	–	4-1	–	–	W
06/09	Salamanca B Spain Tercera Group 8	2-0	2-1	6	4	W
10/05	CD Mojados Spain Tercera Group 8	0-1	1-2	1	1	L
01/05	Almazan Spain Tercera Group 8	1-2	1-2	8	5	L
25/04	CDA Palencia Spain Tercera Group 8	–	2-3	–	–	L

Mirandes B

LLWLDLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	UD Santa Marta Spain Tercera Group 8	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
10/10	Guijuelo Spain Tercera Group 8	0-2	0-2	8	5	L
03/10	Burgos Promesas Spain Tercera Group 8	1-1	1-2	6	2	L
27/09	CD Atletico Mansilles Spain Tercera Group 8	–	0-1	–	–	L
20/09	Cultural Leonesa B Spain Tercera Group 8	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
13/09	At. Bembibre Spain Tercera Group 8	0-0	1-1	7	5	D
06/09	CDA Palencia Spain Tercera Group 8	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
09/05	Villaralbo Spain Tercera Group 8	3-0	4-2	4	1	W
02/05	Arandina Spain Tercera Group 8	–	1-2	–	–	L
25/04	CD Colegios Diocesanos Spain Tercera Group 8	–	1-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Virgen Del Camino vs Mirandes B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Virgen Del Camino win (40%). Probabilities: CD Virgen Del Camino 40%, draw 30%, Mirandes B 30%.

How many goals are expected in CD Virgen Del Camino vs Mirandes B?

The model expects 2.45 goals (CD Virgen Del Camino 1.33 · Mirandes B 1.12), with a 56% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Virgen Del Camino vs Mirandes B?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.