Football · Spain Tercera Group 9 · 14/11, 19:00

Prediction: Atletico Malagueno vs Arenas

Team pages: Arenas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.57Total

Atletico Malagueno1.37

Arenas1.19

1X2

40% 29% 31%

Atletico Malagueno Draw Arenas

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Atletico Malagueno 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWDWWLDWDW

Arenas 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

WWDDWWDWDW

Head-to-head

Atletico Malagueno 4–2 Arenas (6 last)

Arenas3-2Atletico Malagueno
Atletico Malagueno3-2Arenas
Arenas0-1Atletico Malagueno
Atletico Malagueno1-0Arenas
Atletico Malagueno2-0Arenas
Arenas2-1Atletico Malagueno

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Atletico Malagueno: 4-0-2.
High corners: 14.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atletico Malagueno	Arenas
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.1	1.8 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	43/43/14%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.9 / 7.6	3.4 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.3	3.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.88

Under 2.251.88

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:08

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.03 → 2.03	Pinn 2.03
X	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.10
2	3.53 → 3.53	Pinn 3.53

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.8%

Time*	1	X	2
09:05 +3’	2.03	3.10	3.53

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Malagueno 4–0–2 Arenas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/01/25 Spain Tercera Group 9	Arenas	3-2	Atletico Malagueno
15/09/24 Spain Tercera Group 9	Atletico Malagueno	3-2 HT 1-0	Arenas
01/05/24 Spain Tercera Group 9	Arenas	0-1 HT 0-0	Atletico Malagueno
17/12/23 Spain Tercera Group 9	Atletico Malagueno	1-0 HT 1-0	Arenas
05/02/23 Spain Tercera Group 9	Atletico Malagueno	2-0 HT 1-0	Arenas
09/10/22 Spain Tercera Group 9	Arenas	2-1	Atletico Malagueno

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 9

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Melilla	10	7	2	1	17	7	23
2	Arenas	10	6	4	0	18	8	22
3	Ciudad Torredonjimeno	10	6	2	2	20	11	20
4	Almeria B	10	5	4	1	14	6	19
5	Atletico Malagueno	10	5	3	2	20	11	18
6	Motril	10	4	5	1	14	10	17
7	UD San Pedro	10	5	0	5	12	14	15
8	Churriana de la Vega CF	10	4	3	3	15	10	15
9	FC Marbelli	10	4	3	3	8	8	15
10	Atletico Porcuna CF	10	3	4	3	12	18	13
11	CD Huetor Vega	10	3	4	3	13	15	13
12	Recreativo Granada	10	3	4	3	10	7	13
13	UD Torre del Mar	10	3	3	4	7	8	12
14	Alhaurino	10	2	3	5	10	14	9
15	Atletico Marbella	10	1	4	5	7	13	7
16	Atletico Mancha Real	10	1	4	5	8	16	7
17	Cantoria 2017	10	0	4	6	5	16	4
18	CD Malaga Juniors FC	10	0	0	10	6	24	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atletico Malagueno	Arenas
Atletico Marbella	1-0 W	2-0 W
Cantoria 2017	2-2 D	2-1 W
Atletico Porcuna CF	6-1 W	0-0 D
UD San Pedro	0-1 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Arenas (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atletico Malagueno

LWDWWLDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	FC Marbelli Spain Tercera Group 9	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
31/10	Melilla Spain Tercera Group 9	1-1	2-2	9	8	D
25/10	Motril Spain Tercera Group 9	–	4-2	–	–	W
18/10	Churriana de la Vega CF Spain Tercera Group 9	1-0	1-1	7	3	D
11/10	Almeria B Spain Tercera Group 9	0-2	1-2	16	4	L
03/10	Recreativo Granada Spain Tercera Group 9	1-0	2-0	2	9	W
26/09	Atletico Marbella Spain Tercera Group 9	0-0	1-0	5	6	W
20/09	Cantoria 2017 Spain Tercera Group 9	–	2-2	–	–	D
12/09	Atletico Porcuna CF Spain Tercera Group 9	1-0	6-1	11	2	W
06/09	UD San Pedro Spain Tercera Group 9	–	0-1	–	–	L

Arenas

WWDDWWDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Cantoria 2017 Spain Tercera Group 9	–	2-1	–	–	W
01/11	Atletico Porcuna CF Spain Tercera Group 9	–	0-0	–	–	D
25/10	UD San Pedro Spain Tercera Group 9	0-0	1-0	15	5	W
18/10	Alhaurino Spain Tercera Group 9	0-1	2-2	4	2	D
11/10	CD Malaga Juniors FC Spain Tercera Group 9	1-1	5-1	3	3	W
04/10	UD Torre del Mar Spain Tercera Group 9	–	1-0	–	–	W
27/09	CD Huetor Vega Spain Tercera Group 9	3-1	3-3	3	5	D
20/09	Ciudad Torredonjimeno Spain Tercera Group 9	–	1-1	–	–	D
13/09	Atletico Mancha Real Spain Tercera Group 9	0-0	1-0	8	4	W
06/09	Atletico Marbella Spain Tercera Group 9	–	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atletico Malagueno vs Arenas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Malagueno win (40%). Probabilities: Atletico Malagueno 40%, draw 29%, Arenas 31%.

How many goals are expected in Atletico Malagueno vs Arenas?

The model expects 2.57 goals (Atletico Malagueno 1.37 · Arenas 1.19), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Atletico Malagueno vs Arenas?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.