Football · Colombia Liga Femenina · 10/08, 22:00

Prediction: Atletico Bucaramanga (W) vs Once Caldas (W)

Team pages: Atletico Bucaramanga (W) · Once Caldas (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.25Total
Atletico Bucaramanga (W)1.23
Once Caldas (W)1.02
1X2
41% 28% 31%
Atletico Bucaramanga (W) Draw Once Caldas (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico Bucaramanga (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LDLWLLLLWW
Once Caldas (W) 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
LLLWDLDDLD
Head-to-head
Atletico Bucaramanga (W) 0–1–0 Once Caldas (W) (1 last)
  • Atletico Bucaramanga (W)0-0Once Caldas (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atletico Bucaramanga (W) 1464 · Once Caldas (W) 1445
Atletico Bucaramanga (W)DrawOnce Caldas (W)
Our model40%31%29%
Market43%26%32%
Estimated total (ours) 2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Atletico Bucaramanga (W)Once Caldas (W)
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 2.10.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.90.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/10/50%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 2.11.6 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.44 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Bucaramanga (W) 010 Once Caldas (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/05/25
Colombia Liga Femenina
Atletico Bucaramanga (W)0-0
HT 0-0
Once Caldas (W)

Standings · Colombia Liga Femenina

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Atletico Nacional (W) 161303 34939
2 Deportivo Cali (W) 161222 331038
3 Millonarios (W) 161051 32835
4 America de Cali (W) 151023 26832
5 Internacional de Bogota (W) 16925 221429
6 Internacional FC de Palmira (W) 16754 151726
7 Independiente Santa Fe (W) 15744 231125
8 Independiente Medellin (W) 15618 211919
9 Orsomarso (W) 15474 151419
10 Fortaleza CEIF (W) 15447 101916
11 Atletico Bucaramanga (W) 15429 133314
12 Llaneros (W) 16349 113313
13 Junior (W) 16268 122412
14 CD Real Santander (W) 16178 42210
15 Once Caldas (W) 15159 6238
16 Deportivo Pasto (W) 151410 12257

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAtletico Bucaramanga (W)Once Caldas (W)
Llaneros (W) 3-0 W 0-0 D
Deportivo Cali (W) 1-4 L 0-2 L
Internacional FC de Palmira (W) 0-1 L 0-0 D
Independiente Medellin (W) 0-3 L 0-3 L
CD Real Santander (W) 2-0 W 0-0 D
Internacional de Bogota (W) 0-4 L 1-2 L
Orsomarso (W) 1-1 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 4 L 0 W 4 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Once Caldas (W) (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atletico Bucaramanga (W)

LDLWLLLLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/08 Junior (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
1-0 1-0 35 W
25/07 Llaneros (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
1-0 3-0 51 W
29/05 Fortaleza CEIF (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
0-1 1-2 16 L
20/05 Deportivo Cali (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
1-1 1-4 06 L
15/05 Internacional FC de Palmira (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
0-1 0-1 38 L
10/05 Independiente Medellin (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
0-2 0-3 22 L
02/05 CD Real Santander (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
1-0 2-0 47 W
27/04 Internacional de Bogota (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
0-2 0-4 13 L
12/04 Orsomarso (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
1-0 1-1 24 D
31/03 Millonarios (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
0-2 0-6 03 L

Once Caldas (W)

LLLWDLDDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/08 Internacional FC de Palmira (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
0-0 0-0 32 D
26/07 Deportivo Pasto (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
1-3 1-4 54 L
28/05 CD Real Santander (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
0-0 0-0 41 D
22/05 Llaneros (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
0-0 0-0 42 D
16/05 Atletico Nacional (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
0-0 0-1 07 L
11/05 Orsomarso (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
1-0 1-1 64 D
04/05 Deportivo Pasto (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
1-0 1-0 55 W
28/04 Independiente Medellin (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
0-3 0-3 23 L
15/04 Deportivo Cali (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
0-0 0-2 37 L
30/03 Internacional de Bogota (W)
Colombia Liga Femenina
1-2 1-2 29 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atletico Bucaramanga (W) vs Once Caldas (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Bucaramanga (W) win (41%). Probabilities: Atletico Bucaramanga (W) 41%, draw 28%, Once Caldas (W) 31%.

How many goals are expected in Atletico Bucaramanga (W) vs Once Caldas (W)?

The model expects 2.25 goals (Atletico Bucaramanga (W) 1.23 · Once Caldas (W) 1.02), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Atletico Bucaramanga (W) vs Once Caldas (W)?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.