Football · Spain Tercera Group 5 · 03/10, 18:15

Prediction: UE Cornella vs Peralada

Team pages: UE Cornella · Peralada

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.47Total

UE Cornella1.52

Peralada0.95

1X2

49% 28% 23%

UE Cornella Draw Peralada

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

UE Cornella 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

WDLWDWDWDD

Peralada 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LLWDDWDLDW

Head-to-head

UE Cornella 1–2–3 Peralada (6 last)

Peralada3-0UE Cornella
UE Cornella1-2Peralada
UE Cornella0-0Peralada
Peralada2-2UE Cornella
UE Cornella1-0Peralada
UE Cornella0-2Peralada

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UE Cornella 1536 · Peralada 1511

	UE Cornella	Draw	Peralada
Our model	49%	28%	22%
Market	50%	27%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Peralada: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	UE Cornella	Peralada
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.8	1.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/71/29%	50/17/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 5.7	0.8 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.1	4.7 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.25

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.25 → 3.25	Pinn 3.54
2	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 4.69 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
19:19 +8’	1.80	3.25	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:35 +52’	1.64	3.54	4.69

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · UE Cornella 1–2–3 Peralada

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/01/26 Spain Tercera Group 5	Peralada	3-0 HT 0-0	UE Cornella
13/09/25 Spain Tercera Group 5	UE Cornella	1-2 HT 1-2	Peralada
24/03/19 Spain Segunda B Group 3	UE Cornella	0-0 HT 0-0	Peralada
04/11/18 Spain Segunda B Group 3	Peralada	2-2 HT 1-1	UE Cornella
11/08/18 Europe Friendlies	UE Cornella	1-0 HT 1-0	Peralada
22/04/18 Spain Segunda B Group 3	UE Cornella	0-2 HT 0-0	Peralada

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 5

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CF Montanesa	4	3	0	1	5	1	9
2	Vilanova Geltru	4	2	2	0	7	5	8
3	FE Grama	4	2	1	1	6	3	7
4	CE L'Hospitalet	4	1	3	0	6	4	6
4	UE Cornella	4	1	3	0	6	4	6
6	Badalona	4	2	0	2	7	3	6
7	Pobla Mafumet	4	2	0	2	7	6	6
8	FC L'Escala	4	2	0	2	6	5	6
9	UE San Juan Montcada	4	2	0	2	5	7	6
10	CE Europa B	4	1	2	1	4	5	5
11	FC Martinenc	4	1	2	1	8	8	5
12	Cerdanyola del Valles FC	4	1	2	1	4	5	5
13	Peralada	4	1	2	1	5	3	5
14	Atletic Lleida	4	1	1	2	3	7	4
15	CP San Cristobal	4	1	1	2	4	8	4
16	CFJ Mollerussa	4	1	1	2	2	3	4
17	UE Tona	4	1	0	3	3	6	3
18	UE Vilassar de Mar	4	1	0	3	2	7	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	UE Cornella	Peralada
CE L'Hospitalet	0-0 D	0-3 L
Cerdanyola del Valles FC	3-1 W	2-2 D
Atletic Lleida	2-2 D	3-0 W
Vilanova Geltru	1-0 W	1-1 D
CE Manresa	2-1 W	3-4 L
UE Tona	1-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 0 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: UE Cornella (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UE Cornella

WDLWDWDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	CFJ Mollerussa Spain Tercera Group 5	–	1-1	–	–	D
19/09	CE L'Hospitalet Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
12/09	Cerdanyola del Valles FC Spain Tercera Group 5	1-1	3-1	12	4	W
06/09	Atletic Lleida Spain Tercera Group 5	–	2-2	–	–	D
17/05	Vilanova Geltru Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	1-0	2	1	W
10/05	CE L'Hospitalet Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
03/05	CE Manresa Spain Tercera Group 5	0-1	2-1	7	5	W
26/04	CE Europa B Spain Tercera Group 5	0-1	1-2	2	8	L
19/04	FE Grama Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	1-1	9	7	D
12/04	UE Tona Spain Tercera Group 5	–	1-0	–	–	W

Peralada

LLWDDWDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Atletic Lleida Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	3-0	2	11	W
19/09	Vilanova Geltru Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
13/09	UE Tona Spain Tercera Group 5	–	0-1	–	–	L
06/09	CP San Cristobal Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	1-1	1	6	D
10/05	CF Montanesa Spain Tercera Group 5	–	5-0	–	–	W
03/05	Cerdanyola del Valles FC Spain Tercera Group 5	0-2	2-2	3	1	D
26/04	CF Can Vidalet Spain Tercera Group 5	–	1-1	–	–	D
19/04	UE Vic Spain Tercera Group 5	–	1-0	–	–	W
12/04	CE L'Hospitalet Spain Tercera Group 5	0-2	0-3	6	2	L
02/04	CE Manresa Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	3-4	7	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UE Cornella vs Peralada?

According to our model, the most likely result is a UE Cornella win (49%). Probabilities: UE Cornella 49%, draw 28%, Peralada 23%.

How many goals are expected in UE Cornella vs Peralada?

The model expects 2.47 goals (UE Cornella 1.52 · Peralada 0.95), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in UE Cornella vs Peralada?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.