Football · Spain Tercera Group 5 · 04/10, 12:00
Prediction: CE L'Hospitalet vs CFJ Mollerussa
Team pages: CE L'Hospitalet · CFJ Mollerussa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.43Total
CE L'Hospitalet1.61
CFJ Mollerussa0.82
1X2
CE L'Hospitalet
Draw
CFJ Mollerussa
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
CE L'Hospitalet
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
CFJ Mollerussa
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CE L'Hospitalet
3–2–1
CFJ Mollerussa
(6 last)
- CE L'Hospitalet0-0CFJ Mollerussa
- CFJ Mollerussa1-2CE L'Hospitalet
- CFJ Mollerussa2-1CE L'Hospitalet
- CE L'Hospitalet1-1CFJ Mollerussa
- CFJ Mollerussa2-5CE L'Hospitalet
- CE L'Hospitalet1-0CFJ Mollerussa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CE L'Hospitalet 1538 · CFJ Mollerussa 1495
| CE L'Hospitalet | Draw | CFJ Mollerussa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 27% | 18% |
| Market | 56% | 25% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CE L'Hospitalet (rating 1538 vs 1495).
- H2H favours CE L'Hospitalet: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CE L'Hospitalet | CFJ Mollerussa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.1 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.2 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 56/33/11% | 25/50/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 5.4 | 2.3 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.7 / 0.4 | 5.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CE L'Hospitalet 3–2–1 CFJ Mollerussa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/26 Spain Tercera Group 5 | CE L'Hospitalet | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CFJ Mollerussa |
| 14/09/25 Spain Tercera Group 5 | CFJ Mollerussa | 1-2 | CE L'Hospitalet |
| 09/03/25 Spain Tercera Group 5 | CFJ Mollerussa | 2-1 | CE L'Hospitalet |
| 26/10/24 Spain Tercera Group 5 | CE L'Hospitalet | 1-1 HT 0-1 | CFJ Mollerussa |
| 03/03/24 Spain Tercera Group 5 | CFJ Mollerussa | 2-5 | CE L'Hospitalet |
| 14/10/23 Spain Tercera Group 5 | CE L'Hospitalet | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CFJ Mollerussa |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 5
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Montanesa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Vilanova Geltru | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 8 |
| 3 | FE Grama | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | CE L'Hospitalet | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | UE Cornella | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Badalona | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Pobla Mafumet | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 8 | FC L'Escala | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 9 | UE San Juan Montcada | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| 10 | CE Europa B | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Martinenc | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
| 12 | Cerdanyola del Valles FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 13 | Peralada | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 14 | Atletic Lleida | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
| 15 | CP San Cristobal | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 16 | CFJ Mollerussa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 17 | UE Tona | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 18 | UE Vilassar de Mar | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 3 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CE L'Hospitalet | CFJ Mollerussa |
|---|---|---|
| UE Cornella | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Atletic Lleida | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Vilanova Geltru | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: CE L'Hospitalet (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CE L'Hospitalet
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Cerdanyola del Valles FC Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 15 | 6 | D |
| 19/09 | UE Cornella Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 13/09 | Atletic Lleida Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Vilanova Geltru Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 10/05 | UE Cornella Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Badalona Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | CF Montanesa Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 19/04 | Cerdanyola del Valles FC Spain Tercera Group 5 |
2-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 13 | D |
| 12/04 | Peralada Spain Tercera Group 5 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 03/04 | UE Vic Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
CFJ Mollerussa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | UE Cornella Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 20/09 | Atletic Lleida Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 13/09 | Vilanova Geltru Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | UE Tona Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | CE Europa B Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | FE Grama Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | UE Tona Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | Lleida Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 12/04 | Vilanova Geltru Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 03/04 | FC L'Escala Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CE L'Hospitalet vs CFJ Mollerussa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CE L'Hospitalet win (56%). Probabilities: CE L'Hospitalet 56%, draw 26%, CFJ Mollerussa 18%.
How many goals are expected in CE L'Hospitalet vs CFJ Mollerussa?
The model expects 2.43 goals (CE L'Hospitalet 1.61 · CFJ Mollerussa 0.82), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in CE L'Hospitalet vs CFJ Mollerussa?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.