Football · Spain Tercera Group 5 · 04/10, 12:00
Prediction: CF Montanesa vs FC L'Escala
Team pages: CF Montanesa · FC L'Escala
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.51Total
CF Montanesa1.54
FC L'Escala0.97
1X2
CF Montanesa
Draw
FC L'Escala
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
CF Montanesa
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
FC L'Escala
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CF Montanesa
3–3
FC L'Escala
(6 last)
- CF Montanesa2-1FC L'Escala
- FC L'Escala1-0CF Montanesa
- FC L'Escala3-1CF Montanesa
- CF Montanesa3-0FC L'Escala
- FC L'Escala3-1CF Montanesa
- CF Montanesa3-1FC L'Escala
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CF Montanesa 1483 · FC L'Escala 1485
| CF Montanesa | Draw | FC L'Escala | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 28% | 23% |
| Market | 50% | 27% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CF Montanesa | FC L'Escala | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.4 | 1.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/22/33% | 0/57/43% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4 | 1.8 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.2 | 4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CF Montanesa 3–0–3 FC L'Escala
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Spain Tercera Group 5 | CF Montanesa | 2-1 HT 1-0 | FC L'Escala |
| 26/10/25 Spain Tercera Group 5 | FC L'Escala | 1-0 | CF Montanesa |
| 16/02/25 Spain Tercera Group 5 | FC L'Escala | 3-1 HT 1-1 | CF Montanesa |
| 06/10/24 Spain Tercera Group 5 | CF Montanesa | 3-0 HT 1-0 | FC L'Escala |
| 03/03/24 Spain Tercera Group 5 | FC L'Escala | 3-1 HT 1-1 | CF Montanesa |
| 15/10/23 Spain Tercera Group 5 | CF Montanesa | 3-1 HT 1-1 | FC L'Escala |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 5
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Montanesa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Vilanova Geltru | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 8 |
| 3 | FE Grama | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | CE L'Hospitalet | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | UE Cornella | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Badalona | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Pobla Mafumet | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 8 | FC L'Escala | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 9 | UE San Juan Montcada | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| 10 | CE Europa B | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Martinenc | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
| 12 | Cerdanyola del Valles FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 13 | Peralada | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 14 | Atletic Lleida | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
| 15 | CP San Cristobal | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 16 | CFJ Mollerussa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 17 | UE Tona | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 18 | UE Vilassar de Mar | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 3 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CF Montanesa | FC L'Escala |
|---|---|---|
| CE Europa B | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| FE Grama | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CF Montanesa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | CE Europa B Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 20/09 | FE Grama Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Badalona Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | UE San Juan Montcada Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 10/05 | Peralada Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | UE Vic Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | CE L'Hospitalet Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 19/04 | CE Manresa Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 12/04 | CE Europa B Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 02/04 | FE Grama Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
FC L'Escala
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | FC Martinenc Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 20/09 | Cerdanyola del Valles FC Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | CE Europa B Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | FE Grama Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | UE Tona Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Lleida Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Vilanova Geltru Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | CF Can Vidalet Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 16/04 | CP San Cristobal Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | UE Vilassar de Mar Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CF Montanesa vs FC L'Escala?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CF Montanesa win (50%). Probabilities: CF Montanesa 50%, draw 28%, FC L'Escala 23%.
How many goals are expected in CF Montanesa vs FC L'Escala?
The model expects 2.51 goals (CF Montanesa 1.54 · FC L'Escala 0.97), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in CF Montanesa vs FC L'Escala?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.