Football · Spain Tercera Group 16 · 15/11, 16:30

Prediction: CD Calahorra vs Varea

Team pages: Varea

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.43Total

CD Calahorra1.52

Varea0.9

1X2

51% 28% 21%

CD Calahorra Draw Varea

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Calahorra 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWLWLWWW

Varea 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DDDWDWWWLW

Head-to-head

CD Calahorra 0–2–0 Varea (2 last)

Varea1-1CD Calahorra
CD Calahorra1-1Varea

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Calahorra	Varea
Goals for / against (FT)	2.9 / 1.1	1 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	– / –	0.5 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	//%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / –	1.8 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	– / –	6.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.96

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:07

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Pinn 1.50
X	3.81 → 3.81	Pinn 3.81
2	5.86 → 5.86	Pinn 5.86

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
05:55 +12’	1.50	3.81	5.86

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Calahorra 0–2–0 Varea

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 Spain Tercera Group 16	Varea	1-1 HT 0-1	CD Calahorra
16/11/25 Spain Tercera Group 16	CD Calahorra	1-1	Varea

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 16

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haro Deportivo	10	8	1	1	25	15	25
2	FC La Calzada	10	8	0	2	16	11	24
3	CD Alfaro	10	7	1	2	15	9	22
4	CD Calahorra	10	7	0	3	29	11	21
5	Varea	10	5	4	1	10	5	19
6	Berceo	10	6	0	4	22	14	18
7	Anguiano	10	5	2	3	16	9	17
8	Agoncillo	11	4	5	2	21	15	17
9	Oyonesa	10	5	2	3	15	11	17
10	San Marcial	11	4	4	3	13	9	16
11	Pradejón	10	4	1	5	10	13	13
12	Yagüe	10	4	0	6	13	22	12
13	Calasancio	10	3	2	5	12	19	11
14	River Ebro	10	2	1	7	10	22	7
15	Comillas	10	1	3	6	8	15	6
16	Cenicero	10	1	3	6	10	18	6
17	CA Vianes	10	1	1	8	11	20	4
18	Casalarreina CF	10	1	0	9	9	27	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Calahorra	Varea
Anguiano	0-3 L	2-0 W
Haro Deportivo	4-0 W	1-2 L
Calasancio	5-0 W	1-0 W
Agoncillo	5-3 W	1-0 W
Oyonesa	2-0 W	1-1 D
FC La Calzada	1-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CD Calahorra (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Calahorra

LWWWLWLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	CA Vianes Spain Tercera Group 16	–	3-1	–	–	W
01/11	Casalarreina CF Spain Tercera Group 16	–	3-0	–	–	W
25/10	Yagüe Spain Tercera Group 16	–	5-0	–	–	W
18/10	Anguiano Spain Tercera Group 16	–	0-3	–	–	L
11/10	Haro Deportivo Spain Tercera Group 16	–	4-0	–	–	W
04/10	Alfaro Spain Tercera Group 16	–	1-2	–	–	L
27/09	Calasancio Spain Tercera Group 16	–	5-0	–	–	W
18/09	Agoncillo Spain Tercera Group 16	–	5-3	–	–	W
13/09	Oyonesa Spain Tercera Group 16	–	2-0	–	–	W
06/09	FC La Calzada Spain Tercera Group 16	–	1-2	–	–	L

Varea

DDDWDWWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Anguiano Spain Tercera Group 16	0-0	2-0	7	5	W
01/11	Haro Deportivo Spain Tercera Group 16	–	1-2	–	–	L
25/10	CD Alfaro Spain Tercera Group 16	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
18/10	Calasancio Spain Tercera Group 16	0-0	1-0	7	7	W
11/10	Agoncillo Spain Tercera Group 16	–	1-0	–	–	W
04/10	Oyonesa Spain Tercera Group 16	–	1-1	–	–	D
27/09	FC La Calzada Spain Tercera Group 16	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
20/09	Pradejón Spain Tercera Group 16	–	1-1	–	–	D
13/09	San Marcial Spain Tercera Group 16	–	0-0	–	–	D
06/09	Cenicero Spain Tercera Group 16	–	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Calahorra vs Varea?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Calahorra win (51%). Probabilities: CD Calahorra 51%, draw 28%, Varea 21%.

How many goals are expected in CD Calahorra vs Varea?

The model expects 2.43 goals (CD Calahorra 1.52 · Varea 0.9), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Calahorra vs Varea?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.