Football · Spain Tercera Group 16 · 15/11, 17:00

Prediction: Haro Deportivo vs Berceo

Team pages: Haro Deportivo · Berceo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.79Total

Haro Deportivo2.44

Berceo1.35

1X2

61% 20% 19%

Haro Deportivo Draw Berceo

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Haro Deportivo 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWWLWWWW

Berceo 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWLLWL

Head-to-head

Haro Deportivo 2–1–3 Berceo (6 last)

Berceo2-3Haro Deportivo
Haro Deportivo3-0Berceo
Berceo0-0Haro Deportivo
Haro Deportivo2-3Berceo
Berceo3-2Haro Deportivo
Haro Deportivo0-2Berceo

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Haro Deportivo (rating 1608 vs 1499).
H2H favours Berceo: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Haro Deportivo	Berceo
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.5	2.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.8	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/25/25%	50/38/13%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5	2.3 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.8 / 0.5	4.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.87

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:07

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Pinn 1.50
X	4.12 → 4.12	Pinn 4.12
2	5.28 → 5.28	Pinn 5.28

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
07:06 +1’	1.50	4.12	5.28

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Haro Deportivo 2–1–3 Berceo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Spain Tercera Group 16	Berceo	2-3 HT 0-1	Haro Deportivo
16/11/25 Spain Tercera Group 16	Haro Deportivo	3-0 HT 1-0	Berceo
02/02/25 Spain Tercera Group 16	Berceo	0-0 HT 0-0	Haro Deportivo
22/09/24 Spain Tercera Group 16	Haro Deportivo	2-3	Berceo
14/04/24 Spain Tercera Group 16	Berceo	3-2	Haro Deportivo
26/11/23 Spain Tercera Group 16	Haro Deportivo	0-2 HT 0-1	Berceo

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 16

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haro Deportivo	10	8	1	1	25	15	25
2	FC La Calzada	10	8	0	2	16	11	24
3	CD Alfaro	10	7	1	2	15	9	22
4	CD Calahorra	10	7	0	3	29	11	21
5	Varea	10	5	4	1	10	5	19
6	Berceo	10	6	0	4	22	14	18
7	Anguiano	10	5	2	3	16	9	17
8	Agoncillo	11	4	5	2	21	15	17
9	Oyonesa	10	5	2	3	15	11	17
10	San Marcial	11	4	4	3	13	9	16
11	Pradejón	10	4	1	5	10	13	13
12	Yagüe	10	4	0	6	13	22	12
13	Calasancio	10	3	2	5	12	19	11
14	River Ebro	10	2	1	7	10	22	7
15	Comillas	10	1	3	6	8	15	6
16	Cenicero	10	1	3	6	10	18	6
17	CA Vianes	10	1	1	8	11	20	4
18	Casalarreina CF	10	1	0	9	9	27	3

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Haro Deportivo	Berceo
Yagüe	3-0 W	2-1 W
CD Alfaro	2-1 W	1-3 L
Calasancio	4-3 W	1-0 W
Agoncillo	1-1 D	1-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Haro Deportivo (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Haro Deportivo

DWWWWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Comillas Spain Tercera Group 16	1-1	3-2	5	9	W
01/11	Varea Spain Tercera Group 16	–	2-1	–	–	W
25/10	CA Vianes Spain Tercera Group 16	–	3-1	–	–	W
18/10	Casalarreina CF Spain Tercera Group 16	3-1	5-1	6	6	W
11/10	CD Calahorra Spain Tercera Group 16	–	0-4	–	–	L
04/10	Anguiano Spain Tercera Group 16	0-1	2-1	6	9	W
27/09	Yagüe Spain Tercera Group 16	–	3-0	–	–	W
20/09	CD Alfaro Spain Tercera Group 16	–	2-1	–	–	W
13/09	Calasancio Spain Tercera Group 16	–	4-3	–	–	W
05/09	Agoncillo Spain Tercera Group 16	1-0	1-1	3	5	D

Berceo

WWLWWWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	CD Alfaro Spain Tercera Group 16	1-0	1-3	4	4	L
31/10	Calasancio Spain Tercera Group 16	0-0	1-0	8	3	W
25/10	Agoncillo Spain Tercera Group 16	1-1	1-3	5	5	L
18/10	Oyonesa Spain Tercera Group 16	–	0-2	–	–	L
11/10	FC La Calzada Spain Tercera Group 16	2-0	5-1	1	5	W
04/10	Pradejón Spain Tercera Group 16	–	2-1	–	–	W
27/09	San Marcial Spain Tercera Group 16	0-1	2-1	4	5	W
20/09	Cenicero Spain Tercera Group 16	1-0	1-2	1	6	L
13/09	River Ebro Spain Tercera Group 16	1-0	7-0	2	1	W
05/09	Yagüe Spain Tercera Group 16	1-1	2-1	1	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Haro Deportivo vs Berceo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Haro Deportivo win (61%). Probabilities: Haro Deportivo 61%, draw 20%, Berceo 19%.

How many goals are expected in Haro Deportivo vs Berceo?

The model expects 3.79 goals (Haro Deportivo 2.44 · Berceo 1.35), with a 57% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Haro Deportivo vs Berceo?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.