Prediction: Calasancio vs Cenicero
| Calasancio | Draw | Cenicero | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 27% | 27% |
| Market | 47% | 26% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Calasancio (rating 1480 vs 1437).
- Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Calasancio | Cenicero | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.9 | 1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 0/40/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 2.6 | 0.8 / 2.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.6 | 5.6 / 0.2 |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 16
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haro Deportivo | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 15 | 25 |
| 2 | FC La Calzada | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | CD Alfaro | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 22 |
| 4 | CD Calahorra | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 11 | 21 |
| 5 | Varea | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | Berceo | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 18 |
| 7 | Anguiano | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 9 | 17 |
| 8 | Agoncillo | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 15 | 17 |
| 9 | Oyonesa | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 17 |
| 10 | San Marcial | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 16 |
| 11 | Pradejón | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 13 |
| 12 | Yagüe | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 22 | 12 |
| 13 | Calasancio | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 11 |
| 14 | River Ebro | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 7 |
| 15 | Comillas | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 6 |
| 16 | Cenicero | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 6 |
| 17 | CA Vianes | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 20 | 4 |
| 18 | Casalarreina CF | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Calasancio | Cenicero |
|---|---|---|
| River Ebro | 3-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Berceo | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Comillas | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Varea | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Calasancio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | River Ebro Spain Tercera Group 16 |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 31/10 | Berceo Spain Tercera Group 16 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 25/10 | Comillas Spain Tercera Group 16 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 18/10 | Varea Spain Tercera Group 16 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 11/10 | CA Vianes Spain Tercera Group 16 |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 04/10 | Casalarreina CF Spain Tercera Group 16 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 27/09 | CD Calahorra Spain Tercera Group 16 |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 18/09 | Anguiano Spain Tercera Group 16 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 13/09 | Haro Deportivo Spain Tercera Group 16 |
– | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 06/09 | CD Alfaro Spain Tercera Group 16 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
Cenicero
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Agoncillo Spain Tercera Group 16 |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 01/11 | Oyonesa Spain Tercera Group 16 |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 25/10 | FC La Calzada Spain Tercera Group 16 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 18/10 | Pradejón Spain Tercera Group 16 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 11/10 | San Marcial Spain Tercera Group 16 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 11 | L |
| 03/10 | Yagüe Spain Tercera Group 16 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 26/09 | River Ebro Spain Tercera Group 16 |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 20/09 | Berceo Spain Tercera Group 16 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 13/09 | Comillas Spain Tercera Group 16 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | Varea Spain Tercera Group 16 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Calasancio vs Cenicero?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Calasancio win (47%). Probabilities: Calasancio 47%, draw 26%, Cenicero 27%.
How many goals are expected in Calasancio vs Cenicero?
The model expects 2.8 goals (Calasancio 1.62 · Cenicero 1.18), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Calasancio vs Cenicero?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.