Football · Spain Tercera Group 2 · 15/11, 12:00

Prediction: Praviano vs Condal

Team pages: Praviano

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.33Total

Praviano1.14

Condal1.19

1X2

33% 31% 36%

Praviano Draw Condal

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Praviano 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLDDWLWL

Condal 5-5-0 (W-D-L)

WWDWDWDDDW

Head-to-head

Praviano 4–2–0 Condal (6 last)

Condal1-3Praviano
Praviano1-0Condal
Praviano1-0Condal
Condal0-0Praviano
Condal0-0Praviano
Praviano1-0Condal

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Condal (rating 1494 vs 1557).
H2H favours Praviano: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Praviano	Condal
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.7	1.3 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.7	0.1 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/33/67%	14/86/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.7	2.5 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.3	5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.92

Under 2.251.84

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:03

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.19 → 2.19	Pinn 2.19
X	3.11 → 3.11	Pinn 3.11
2	3.11 → 3.11	Pinn 3.11

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
01:57 +6’	2.19	3.11	3.11

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Praviano 4–2–0 Condal

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/03/25 Spain Tercera Group 2	Condal	1-3	Praviano
03/11/24 Spain Tercera Group 2	Praviano	1-0 HT 0-0	Condal
17/03/24 Spain Tercera Group 2	Praviano	1-0	Condal
29/10/23 Spain Tercera Group 2	Condal	0-0 HT 0-0	Praviano
06/04/23 Spain Tercera Group 2	Condal	0-0 HT 0-0	Praviano
11/12/22 Spain Tercera Group 2	Praviano	1-0	Condal

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Covadonga	10	7	2	1	26	11	23
2	Sporting Gijon B	10	6	3	1	17	9	21
3	Lealtad	10	6	2	2	14	4	20
4	Condal	10	5	5	0	13	4	20
5	Caudal	10	5	3	2	13	10	18
6	Gijon Industrial	10	5	2	3	16	11	17
7	Mosconia	10	4	4	2	16	14	16
8	El San Martin	10	4	3	3	13	14	15
9	Praviano	10	4	2	4	21	15	14
10	UP Langreo	10	3	3	4	11	13	12
11	Siero	10	4	0	6	11	14	12
12	CD Colunga	10	3	3	4	17	24	12
13	Aviles Stadium CF	10	3	2	5	8	13	11
14	Llanes	10	2	4	4	11	17	10
15	UC Ceares	10	2	3	5	12	14	9
16	Oviedo Astur	10	0	6	4	9	15	6
17	L'Entregu CF	10	1	2	7	5	18	5
18	Andes CF	10	0	3	7	8	21	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Praviano	Condal
Gijon Industrial	0-1 L	2-1 W
Mosconia	5-2 W	0-0 D
El San Martin	0-1 L	4-0 W
Siero	4-1 W	1-0 W
L'Entregu CF	1-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Condal (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Praviano

LLWLDDWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Gijon Industrial Spain Tercera Group 2	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
31/10	Mosconia Spain Tercera Group 2	–	5-2	–	–	W
25/10	El San Martin Spain Tercera Group 2	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
18/10	Siero Spain Tercera Group 2	–	4-1	–	–	W
10/10	CD Colunga Spain Tercera Group 2	–	5-5	–	–	D
04/10	Caudal Spain Tercera Group 2	–	1-1	–	–	D
20/09	Aviles Stadium CF Spain Tercera Group 2	–	0-1	–	–	L
12/09	Lealtad Spain Tercera Group 2	–	2-1	–	–	W
06/09	Sporting Gijon B Spain Tercera Group 2	0-1	1-2	3	6	L
10/05	L'Entregu CF Spain Tercera Group 2	–	1-2	–	–	L

Condal

WWDWDWDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	L'Entregu CF Spain Tercera Group 2	0-0	1-0	1	2	W
01/11	Covadonga Spain Tercera Group 2	1-0	1-1	7	9	D
25/10	UC Ceares Spain Tercera Group 2	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
18/10	Oviedo Astur Spain Tercera Group 2	0-0	1-1	2	3	D
11/10	Andes CF Spain Tercera Group 2	–	2-0	–	–	W
04/10	Llanes Spain Tercera Group 2	–	1-1	–	–	D
27/09	Gijon Industrial Spain Tercera Group 2	0-0	2-1	2	7	W
20/09	Mosconia Spain Tercera Group 2	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
13/09	El San Martin Spain Tercera Group 2	–	4-0	–	–	W
06/09	Siero Spain Tercera Group 2	0-0	1-0	5	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Praviano vs Condal?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Condal win (36%). Probabilities: Praviano 33%, draw 31%, Condal 36%.

How many goals are expected in Praviano vs Condal?

The model expects 2.33 goals (Praviano 1.14 · Condal 1.19), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Praviano vs Condal?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.