Prediction: Covadonga vs Oviedo Astur
Team pages: Covadonga
| Covadonga | Draw | Oviedo Astur | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 16% | 7% |
| Market | 77% | 15% | 8% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Covadonga (rating 1561 vs 1450).
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Covadonga | Oviedo Astur | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 43/29/29% | 14/43/43% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.1 | 0.6 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.9 / 0.6 | 2.3 / 0.1 |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Covadonga | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 11 | 23 |
| 2 | Sporting Gijon B | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | Lealtad | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 4 | 20 |
| 4 | Condal | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 20 |
| 5 | Caudal | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 18 |
| 6 | Gijon Industrial | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 17 |
| 7 | Mosconia | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 16 |
| 8 | El San Martin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| 9 | Praviano | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 14 |
| 10 | UP Langreo | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 12 |
| 11 | Siero | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 12 |
| 12 | CD Colunga | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 24 | 12 |
| 13 | Aviles Stadium CF | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 11 |
| 14 | Llanes | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 10 |
| 15 | UC Ceares | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 9 |
| 16 | Oviedo Astur | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 6 |
| 17 | L'Entregu CF | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 5 |
| 18 | Andes CF | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 3 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Covadonga | Oviedo Astur |
|---|---|---|
| Andes CF | 3-2 W | 3-3 D |
| Condal | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Gijon Industrial | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Mosconia | 4-0 W | 0-0 D |
| El San Martin | 2-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Siero | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| CD Colunga | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Caudal | 4-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 5 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Covadonga (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Covadonga
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Andes CF Spain Tercera Group 2 |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 01/11 | Condal Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 25/10 | Gijon Industrial Spain Tercera Group 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 18/10 | Mosconia Spain Tercera Group 2 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | El San Martin Spain Tercera Group 2 |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 04/10 | Siero Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 26/09 | CD Colunga Spain Tercera Group 2 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 20/09 | Caudal Spain Tercera Group 2 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 10 | W |
| 13/09 | UP Langreo Spain Tercera Group 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 06/09 | Aviles Stadium CF Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
Oviedo Astur
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | UC Ceares Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 01/11 | Llanes Spain Tercera Group 2 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 25/10 | Andes CF Spain Tercera Group 2 |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 18/10 | Condal Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 11/10 | Gijon Industrial Spain Tercera Group 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 04/10 | Mosconia Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 27/09 | El San Martin Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 20/09 | Siero Spain Tercera Group 2 |
– | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 13/09 | CD Colunga Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Caudal Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Covadonga vs Oviedo Astur?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Covadonga win (77%). Probabilities: Covadonga 77%, draw 16%, Oviedo Astur 8%.
How many goals are expected in Covadonga vs Oviedo Astur?
The model expects 3.19 goals (Covadonga 2.5 · Oviedo Astur 0.69), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Covadonga vs Oviedo Astur?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.