Football · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · 20/08, 02:00

Prediction: Nacional Potosi vs Real Tomayapo

Team pages: Nacional Potosi · Real Tomayapo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.04Total

Nacional Potosi2.26

Real Tomayapo0.78

1X2

71% 18% 11%

Nacional Potosi Draw Real Tomayapo

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

Nacional Potosi 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLWDLWLLLW

Real Tomayapo 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLDLLW

Head-to-head

Nacional Potosi 4–2–0 Real Tomayapo (6 last)

Nacional Potosi4-1Real Tomayapo
Nacional Potosi1-0Real Tomayapo
Real Tomayapo0-1Nacional Potosi
Nacional Potosi1-1Real Tomayapo
Real Tomayapo1-1Nacional Potosi
Nacional Potosi1-0Real Tomayapo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nacional Potosi 1484 · Real Tomayapo 1449

	Nacional Potosi	Draw	Real Tomayapo
Our model	70%	19%	10%
Market	72%	16%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 3.04 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Nacional Potosi: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nacional Potosi	Real Tomayapo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.5	0.9 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 2.6	2.2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.6	3 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.25

X5.50

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.90

2 (+1.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.80

Under 3.252.00

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.25 → 1.25	Bet365 1.25
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
23:43 +7’	1.25	5.50	7.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nacional Potosi 4–2–0 Real Tomayapo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/07/26 Bolivia Primera Division	Nacional Potosi	4-1 HT 3-1	Real Tomayapo
14/12/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Nacional Potosi	1-0 HT 0-0	Real Tomayapo
23/07/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Real Tomayapo	0-1 HT 0-0	Nacional Potosi
23/03/25 America Friendlies	Nacional Potosi	1-1 HT 0-0	Real Tomayapo
20/03/25 America Friendlies	Real Tomayapo	1-1 HT 0-0	Nacional Potosi
30/10/24 Bolivia Clausura	Nacional Potosi	1-0 HT 0-0	Real Tomayapo

Standings · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · Copa Bolivia 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Always Ready	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Nacional Potosi	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Real Tomayapo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Real Oruro	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nacional Potosi	Real Tomayapo
Academia de Balompie Boliviano	2-0 W	1-1 D
San Antonio Bulo Bulo	1-2 L	1-0 W
Real Oruro	1-4 L	1-2 L
Club Aurora	2-0 W	0-2 L
Guabira	1-2 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Nacional Potosi (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nacional Potosi

DLWDLWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-0	3	0	W
08/08	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-2	3	3	L
06/08	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	2-1	2-3	3	4	L
03/08	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
27/07	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	3-1	4-1	4	3	W
21/07	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	1-4	4	4	L
12/07	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-1	3	7	D
10/07	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	2-0	2	3	W
18/05	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-2	0	10	L
14/05	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-1	1	4	D

Real Tomayapo

WLLWLLDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
08/08	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	9	2	L
05/08	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-3	4	8	L
01/08	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-1	8	5	D
27/07	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	1-3	1-4	2	3	L
20/07	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
13/07	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	2-1	2	5	W
08/07	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-3	4	2	L
16/05	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
10/05	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-0	3	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nacional Potosi vs Real Tomayapo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nacional Potosi win (71%). Probabilities: Nacional Potosi 71%, draw 18%, Real Tomayapo 11%.

How many goals are expected in Nacional Potosi vs Real Tomayapo?

The model expects 3.04 goals (Nacional Potosi 2.26 · Real Tomayapo 0.78), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Nacional Potosi vs Real Tomayapo?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.