Football · Andorra Premier Division · 08/11, 17:00
Prediction: CE Carroi vs AC d'Escaldes
Team pages: CE Carroi · AC d'Escaldes
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.2Total
CE Carroi0.63
AC d'Escaldes2.58
1X2
CE Carroi
Draw
AC d'Escaldes
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
0-2 14%
Recent form · 10 last
CE Carroi
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
AC d'Escaldes
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CE Carroi
0–6
AC d'Escaldes
(6 last)
- AC d'Escaldes3-0CE Carroi
- CE Carroi1-4AC d'Escaldes
- AC d'Escaldes3-0CE Carroi
- AC d'Escaldes2-1CE Carroi
- CE Carroi0-4AC d'Escaldes
- AC d'Escaldes8-1CE Carroi
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CE Carroi 1392 · AC d'Escaldes 1524
| CE Carroi | Draw | AC d'Escaldes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 6% | 15% | 79% |
| Market | 8% | 12% | 80% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.2 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AC d'Escaldes (rating 1392 vs 1524).
- H2H favours AC d'Escaldes: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 14 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CE Carroi | AC d'Escaldes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 2.4 | 2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.1 | 1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 3 | 2.9 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.7 / 0.2 | 7.3 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CE Carroi 0–0–6 AC d'Escaldes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Andorra Premier Division | AC d'Escaldes | 3-0 HT 1-0 | CE Carroi |
| 31/01/26 Andorra Premier Division | CE Carroi | 1-4 HT 0-1 | AC d'Escaldes |
| 29/10/25 Andorra Premier Division | AC d'Escaldes | 3-0 HT 2-0 | CE Carroi |
| 10/03/24 Andorra Premier Division | AC d'Escaldes | 2-1 HT 2-1 | CE Carroi |
| 25/02/24 Andorra Premier Division | CE Carroi | 0-4 HT 0-1 | AC d'Escaldes |
| 29/10/23 Andorra Premier Division | AC d'Escaldes | 8-1 HT 5-0 | CE Carroi |
Standings · Andorra Premier Division
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Santa Coloma | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 3 | 19 |
| 2 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 5 | 15 |
| 3 | CF Esperança d'Andorra | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 14 |
| 4 | AC d'Escaldes | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 12 |
| 5 | FC Ordino | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 12 |
| 6 | FC Rangers | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
| 7 | CE Casa de Portugal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 8 |
| 8 | Penya Encarnada | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 6 |
| 9 | SC Escaldes | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 4 |
| 10 | CE Carroi | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CE Carroi | AC d'Escaldes |
|---|---|---|
| CE Casa de Portugal | 0-3 L | 3-0 W |
| FC Ordino | 2-3 L | 2-0 W |
| SC Escaldes | 0-1 L | 4-1 W |
| FC Rangers | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Penya Encarnada | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Inter Club d'Escaldes | 0-3 L | 2-4 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 5 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: AC d'Escaldes (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CE Carroi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | CE Casa de Portugal Andorra Premier Division |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 25/10 | FC Ordino Andorra Premier Division |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 18/10 | SC Escaldes Andorra Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 12 | L |
| 11/10 | FC Rangers Andorra Premier Division |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | Penya Encarnada Andorra Premier Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 13/09 | Inter Club d'Escaldes Andorra Premier Division |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | FC Santa Coloma Andorra Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Inter Club d'Escaldes Andorra Premier Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 26/04 | AC d'Escaldes Andorra Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | FC Rangers Andorra Premier Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 9 | L |
AC d'Escaldes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | FC Ordino Andorra Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 15 | W |
| 25/10 | FC Rangers Andorra Premier Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 11 | D |
| 18/10 | Inter Club d'Escaldes Andorra Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 10 | L |
| 11/10 | CF Esperança d'Andorra Andorra Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 20/09 | CE Casa de Portugal Andorra Premier Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | SC Escaldes Andorra Premier Division |
1-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | Penya Encarnada Andorra Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 9 | D |
| 17/05 | Penya Encarnada Andorra Premier Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Inter Club d'Escaldes Andorra Premier Division |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 26/04 | CE Carroi Andorra Premier Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CE Carroi vs AC d'Escaldes?
According to our model, the most likely result is an AC d'Escaldes win (80%). Probabilities: CE Carroi 7%, draw 14%, AC d'Escaldes 80%.
How many goals are expected in CE Carroi vs AC d'Escaldes?
The model expects 3.2 goals (CE Carroi 0.63 · AC d'Escaldes 2.58), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in CE Carroi vs AC d'Escaldes?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.