Football · Andorra Premier Division · 08/11, 11:00
Prediction: Penya Encarnada vs FC Rangers
Team pages: Penya Encarnada · FC Rangers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.66Total
Penya Encarnada0.94
FC Rangers1.72
1X2
Penya Encarnada
Draw
FC Rangers
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Penya Encarnada
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
FC Rangers
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Penya Encarnada
0–1–5
FC Rangers
(6 last)
- Penya Encarnada1-2FC Rangers
- FC Rangers4-0Penya Encarnada
- Penya Encarnada0-3FC Rangers
- Penya Encarnada1-3FC Rangers
- FC Rangers6-2Penya Encarnada
- Penya Encarnada0-0FC Rangers
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Penya Encarnada 1430 · FC Rangers 1527
| Penya Encarnada | Draw | FC Rangers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 26% | 54% |
| Market | 21% | 24% | 56% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Rangers (rating 1430 vs 1527).
- H2H favours FC Rangers: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 13.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Penya Encarnada | FC Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.5 | 1.4 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/56/33% | 33/11/56% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 2.9 | 0.8 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.9 / 0.6 | 7.9 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Penya Encarnada 0–1–5 FC Rangers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Andorra Premier Division | Penya Encarnada | 1-2 | FC Rangers |
| 24/01/26 Andorra Premier Division | FC Rangers | 4-0 | Penya Encarnada |
| 11/01/26 Andorra Cup | Penya Encarnada | 0-3 HT 0-0 | FC Rangers |
| 23/11/25 Andorra Premier Division | Penya Encarnada | 1-3 HT 1-1 | FC Rangers |
| 01/03/25 Andorra Premier Division | FC Rangers | 6-2 HT 3-1 | Penya Encarnada |
| 08/12/24 Andorra Premier Division | Penya Encarnada | 0-0 | FC Rangers |
Standings · Andorra Premier Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Santa Coloma | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 3 | 19 |
| 2 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 5 | 15 |
| 3 | CF Esperança d'Andorra | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 14 |
| 4 | AC d'Escaldes | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 12 |
| 5 | FC Ordino | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 12 |
| 6 | FC Rangers | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
| 7 | CE Casa de Portugal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 8 |
| 8 | Penya Encarnada | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 6 |
| 9 | SC Escaldes | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 4 |
| 10 | CE Carroi | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Penya Encarnada | FC Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Inter Club d'Escaldes | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| CF Esperança d'Andorra | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| CE Casa de Portugal | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| CE Carroi | 2-2 D | 3-0 W |
| FC Santa Coloma | 0-4 L | 0-2 L |
| AC d'Escaldes | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| FC Ordino | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Rangers (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Penya Encarnada
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Inter Club d'Escaldes Andorra Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 25/10 | CF Esperança d'Andorra Andorra Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 18/10 | CE Casa de Portugal Andorra Premier Division |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 10 | L |
| 11/10 | SC Escaldes Andorra Premier Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | CE Carroi Andorra Premier Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 13 | 7 | D |
| 13/09 | FC Santa Coloma Andorra Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | AC d'Escaldes Andorra Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 17/05 | AC d'Escaldes Andorra Premier Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | FC Rangers Andorra Premier Division |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | FC Ordino Andorra Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
FC Rangers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | FC Santa Coloma Andorra Premier Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 25/10 | AC d'Escaldes Andorra Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 11 | D |
| 17/10 | FC Ordino Andorra Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 11/10 | CE Carroi Andorra Premier Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 20/09 | Inter Club d'Escaldes Andorra Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 12 | L |
| 13/09 | CF Esperança d'Andorra Andorra Premier Division |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 13 | W |
| 06/09 | CE Casa de Portugal Andorra Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 10 | D |
| 16/05 | FC Santa Coloma Andorra Premier Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Penya Encarnada Andorra Premier Division |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Inter Club d'Escaldes Andorra Premier Division |
2-3 | 3-5 | 4 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Penya Encarnada vs FC Rangers?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Rangers win (55%). Probabilities: Penya Encarnada 20%, draw 25%, FC Rangers 55%.
How many goals are expected in Penya Encarnada vs FC Rangers?
The model expects 2.66 goals (Penya Encarnada 0.94 · FC Rangers 1.72), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Penya Encarnada vs FC Rangers?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.