Football · Andorra Premier Division · 08/11, 14:00
Prediction: FC Santa Coloma vs FC Ordino
Team pages: FC Santa Coloma · FC Ordino
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.41Total
FC Santa Coloma2.7
FC Ordino0.71
1X2
FC Santa Coloma
Draw
FC Ordino
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Santa Coloma
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
FC Ordino
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Santa Coloma
3–3
FC Ordino
(6 last)
- FC Santa Coloma0-1FC Ordino
- FC Ordino2-1FC Santa Coloma
- FC Santa Coloma3-1FC Ordino
- FC Santa Coloma0-1FC Ordino
- FC Ordino0-1FC Santa Coloma
- FC Santa Coloma3-1FC Ordino
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Santa Coloma 1562 · FC Ordino 1499
| FC Santa Coloma | Draw | FC Ordino | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 79% | 15% | 7% |
| Market | 79% | 13% | 8% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.41 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Santa Coloma (rating 1562 vs 1499).
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 13.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Santa Coloma | FC Ordino | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.6 | 1.2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 6.9 | 2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.4 / 0.1 | 7.5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Santa Coloma 3–0–3 FC Ordino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Andorra Premier Division | FC Santa Coloma | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FC Ordino |
| 15/02/26 Andorra Premier Division | FC Ordino | 2-1 | FC Santa Coloma |
| 23/11/25 Andorra Premier Division | FC Santa Coloma | 3-1 HT 0-1 | FC Ordino |
| 30/03/25 Andorra Premier Division | FC Santa Coloma | 0-1 | FC Ordino |
| 08/12/24 Andorra Premier Division | FC Ordino | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FC Santa Coloma |
| 24/11/24 Andorra Premier Division | FC Santa Coloma | 3-1 HT 1-0 | FC Ordino |
Standings · Andorra Premier Division
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Santa Coloma | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 3 | 19 |
| 2 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 5 | 15 |
| 3 | CF Esperança d'Andorra | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 14 |
| 4 | AC d'Escaldes | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 12 |
| 5 | FC Ordino | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 12 |
| 6 | FC Rangers | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
| 7 | CE Casa de Portugal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 8 |
| 8 | Penya Encarnada | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 6 |
| 9 | SC Escaldes | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 4 |
| 10 | CE Carroi | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Santa Coloma | FC Ordino |
|---|---|---|
| FC Rangers | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Inter Club d'Escaldes | 1-1 D | 0-4 L |
| CF Esperança d'Andorra | 2-1 W | 0-4 L |
| CE Casa de Portugal | 5-0 W | 3-2 W |
| SC Escaldes | 5-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Penya Encarnada | 4-0 W | 0-1 L |
| CE Carroi | 3-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 0 L | 4 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Santa Coloma (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Santa Coloma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | FC Rangers Andorra Premier Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 25/10 | Inter Club d'Escaldes Andorra Premier Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 18/10 | CF Esperança d'Andorra Andorra Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 11/10 | CE Casa de Portugal Andorra Premier Division |
2-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 20/09 | SC Escaldes Andorra Premier Division |
2-0 | 5-1 | 11 | 7 | W |
| 13/09 | Penya Encarnada Andorra Premier Division |
0-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | CE Carroi Andorra Premier Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | FC Rangers Andorra Premier Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | FC Ordino Andorra Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | UE Santa Coloma Andorra Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
FC Ordino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | AC d'Escaldes Andorra Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 15 | L |
| 25/10 | CE Carroi Andorra Premier Division |
1-0 | 3-2 | 7 | 10 | W |
| 17/10 | FC Rangers Andorra Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 10/10 | Inter Club d'Escaldes Andorra Premier Division |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 20/09 | CF Esperança d'Andorra Andorra Premier Division |
0-4 | 0-4 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 13/09 | CE Casa de Portugal Andorra Premier Division |
2-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 06/09 | SC Escaldes Andorra Premier Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 9 | W |
| 16/05 | CF Esperança d'Andorra Andorra Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 9 | D |
| 10/05 | FC Santa Coloma Andorra Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Penya Encarnada Andorra Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Santa Coloma vs FC Ordino?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Santa Coloma win (79%). Probabilities: FC Santa Coloma 79%, draw 14%, FC Ordino 7%.
How many goals are expected in FC Santa Coloma vs FC Ordino?
The model expects 3.41 goals (FC Santa Coloma 2.7 · FC Ordino 0.71), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Santa Coloma vs FC Ordino?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.