Football · Dominica Premier League · 08/08, 22:00

Prediction: Middleham United FC vs Pointe Michel FC

Team pages: Middleham United FC · Pointe Michel FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.48Total

Middleham United FC2.24

Pointe Michel FC2.24

1X2

39% 22% 39%

Middleham United FC Draw Pointe Michel FC

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 64%

Most likely score

2-2

Recent form · 10 last

Middleham United FC 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLDWWW

Pointe Michel FC 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWDLWWLLLL

Head-to-head

Middleham United FC 4–1 Pointe Michel FC (5 last)

Pointe Michel FC4-3Middleham United FC
Middleham United FC7-4Pointe Michel FC
Pointe Michel FC1-7Middleham United FC
Middleham United FC3-1Pointe Michel FC
Middleham United FC1-0Pointe Michel FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Middleham United FC 1501 · Pointe Michel FC 1453

	Middleham United FC	Draw	Pointe Michel FC
Our model	40%	21%	40%
Market	39%	22%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 4.48 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Middleham United FC (rating 1501 vs 1453).
H2H favours Middleham United FC: 4-0-1.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Middleham United FC	Pointe Michel FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2.1	2.6 / 3.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	1.2 / 2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.6	2.7 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.2	3.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.30

X4.00

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.85

Under 4.251.95

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 5.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Pinn 2.38 ★
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
04:16 +7’	2.30	4.00	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:01 +4’	2.38	3.73	2.29

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Middleham United FC 4–0–1 Pointe Michel FC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
03/06/26 Dominica Premier League	Pointe Michel FC	4-3 HT 3-1	Middleham United FC
04/08/25 Dominica Premier League	Middleham United FC	7-4 HT 1-1	Pointe Michel FC
19/04/25 Dominica Premier League	Pointe Michel FC	1-7 HT 1-2	Middleham United FC
13/04/24 Dominica Premier League	Middleham United FC	3-1 HT 2-0	Pointe Michel FC
13/08/23 Dominica Premier League	Middleham United FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Pointe Michel FC

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Middleham United FC	Pointe Michel FC
Bath Estate	3-1 W	4-5 L
Mahaut Soca Strikers	1-0 W	1-1 D
Portsmouth Bombers	1-1 D	2-6 L
Dublanc FC	1-3 L	3-12 L
Sagicor South East FC	1-4 L	2-5 L
Promex Harlem United SC	2-1 W	3-0 W
Mighty Avengers	0-3 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Middleham United FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Middleham United FC

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/07	Blue Waters FC Dominica Premier League	0-0	3-1	15	3	W
23/07	Bath Estate Dominica Premier League	0-0	3-1	15	3	W
05/07	Mahaut Soca Strikers Dominica Premier League	0-0	1-0	0	0	W
20/06	Portsmouth Bombers Dominica Premier League	0-0	1-1	3	6	D
14/06	Dublanc FC Dominica Premier League	1-1	1-3	4	4	L
07/06	Sagicor South East FC Dominica Premier League	1-1	1-4	4	1	L
03/06	Pointe Michel FC Dominica Premier League	1-3	3-4	6	2	L
30/05	Promex Harlem United SC Dominica Premier League	2-0	2-1	3	1	W
27/05	Mighty Avengers Dominica Premier League	0-1	0-3	3	3	L
13/05	Mahaut Soca Strikers Dominica Premier League	0-2	2-3	3	3	L

Pointe Michel FC

LWDLWWLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	Bath Estate Dominica Premier League	1-2	4-5	5	5	L
04/07	Dublanc FC Dominica Premier League	0-7	3-12	4	2	L
20/06	Sagicor South East FC Dominica Premier League	1-3	2-5	2	5	L
13/06	Bath Estate Dominica Premier League	2-1	2-3	11	4	L
06/06	Mighty Avengers Dominica Premier League	1-1	3-1	3	4	W
03/06	Middleham United FC Dominica Premier League	3-1	4-3	5	2	W
31/05	Portsmouth Bombers Dominica Premier League	0-3	2-6	9	1	L
25/05	Mahaut Soca Strikers Dominica Premier League	1-1	1-1	1	3	D
09/05	Promex Harlem United SC Dominica Premier League	1-0	3-0	8	7	W
12/10	Sagicor South East FC Dominica President Cup	2-1	2-3	5	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Middleham United FC vs Pointe Michel FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Middleham United FC win (39%). Probabilities: Middleham United FC 39%, draw 22%, Pointe Michel FC 39%.

How many goals are expected in Middleham United FC vs Pointe Michel FC?

The model expects 4.48 goals (Middleham United FC 2.24 · Pointe Michel FC 2.24), with a 52% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Middleham United FC vs Pointe Michel FC?

The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.