Football · Egypt Division 1 · 21/08, 19:00

Prediction: Abo Qir Semad vs National Bank

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.17Total

Abo Qir Semad0.85

National Bank1.32

1X2

23% 31% 46%

Abo Qir Semad Draw National Bank

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Abo Qir Semad 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

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National Bank 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Abo Qir Semad 1540 · National Bank 1512

	Abo Qir Semad	Draw	National Bank
Our model	23%	31%	46%
Market	23%	31%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 2.17 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Abo Qir Semad	National Bank
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.6	1.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.1	0.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/67/0%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.8	3.4 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.3	2.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

14.00

X2.88

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.80

Under 1.752.00

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
X	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
2	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
22:52 +2’	4.00	2.88	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Egypt Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Abo Qir Semad	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Ahly Cairo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Ittihad Al Sakandary	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Enppi	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	El Masry	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Moqawloon Al Arab	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Asyut Petroleum	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ceramica Cleopatra	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	El Gounah	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Qanah	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ghazl El Mahallah	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Modern Sport FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	National Bank	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Pyramids FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Smouha	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Petrojet	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Talaea El Geish	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Wadi Degla	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	El Zamalek	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	ZED FC	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Abo Qir Semad

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/05	Raya Ghazl SC Egypt Division 2	–	4-0	–	–	W
07/05	Tersana SC Egypt Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
30/04	La Viena FC Egypt Division 2	0-0	1-0	5	6	W
25/04	WE SC Egypt Division 2	1-1	1-1	5	5	D
16/04	Dayrout Egypt Division 2	1-0	1-1	4	6	D
09/04	Proxy SC Egypt Division 2	1-0	1-1	5	5	D
02/04	Aswan FC Egypt Division 2	1-0	3-0	6	2	W
26/03	Maleyat Kafr El Zayat Egypt Division 2	0-0	1-0	3	8	W
12/03	El Daklyeh Egypt Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
06/03	Al Qanah Egypt Division 2	0-0	0-3	5	4	L

National Bank

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/05	Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Egypt Division 1	1-2	2-2	8	5	D
22/05	Pharco FC Egypt Division 1	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
17/05	El Gounah Egypt Division 1	0-1	1-1	10	3	D
13/05	Petrojet Egypt Division 1	0-1	2-3	11	3	L
07/05	Ismaily SC Egypt Division 1	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
03/05	Modern Sport FC Egypt Division 1	0-1	2-1	8	4	W
28/04	Kahraba Ismailia Egypt Division 1	0-0	3-1	2	3	W
24/04	ZED FC Egypt Division 1	1-0	2-1	6	0	W
18/04	Wadi Degla Egypt Division 1	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
13/04	Al Moqawloon Al Arab Egypt Division 1	0-1	2-1	5	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Abo Qir Semad vs National Bank?

According to our model, the most likely result is an National Bank win (46%). Probabilities: Abo Qir Semad 23%, draw 31%, National Bank 46%.

How many goals are expected in Abo Qir Semad vs National Bank?

The model expects 2.17 goals (Abo Qir Semad 0.85 · National Bank 1.32), with a 55% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Abo Qir Semad vs National Bank?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.