Football · Egypt Division 1 · 22/08, 19:00
Prediction: El Masry vs Smouha
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.06Total
El Masry1.55
Smouha0.5
1X2
El Masry
Draw
Smouha
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
El Masry
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Smouha
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
El Masry
4–1–1
Smouha
(6 last)
- Smouha0-1El Masry
- El Masry2-0Smouha
- El Masry0-0Smouha
- Smouha0-3El Masry
- Smouha1-0El Masry
- El Masry2-0Smouha
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours El Masry (rating 1523 vs 1420).
- H2H favours El Masry: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| El Masry | Smouha | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.2 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.9 | 1.8 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.4 | 4.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · El Masry 4–1–1 Smouha
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/26 Egypt Division 1 | Smouha | 0-1 HT 0-1 | El Masry |
| 05/01/26 Egypt League Cup | El Masry | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Smouha |
| 22/10/25 Egypt Division 1 | El Masry | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Smouha |
| 27/02/25 Egypt Division 1 | Smouha | 0-3 HT 0-2 | El Masry |
| 01/08/24 Egypt Division 1 | Smouha | 1-0 HT 0-0 | El Masry |
| 05/03/24 Egypt Division 1 | El Masry | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Smouha |
Standings · Egypt Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Abo Qir Semad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Ahly Cairo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Enppi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | El Masry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Moqawloon Al Arab | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Asyut Petroleum | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | El Gounah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Al Qanah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Modern Sport FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | National Bank | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Pyramids FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Smouha | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Petrojet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Talaea El Geish | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wadi Degla | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | El Zamalek | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ZED FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | El Masry | Smouha |
|---|---|---|
| Enppi | 3-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Al Ahly Cairo | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Ceramica Cleopatra | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Pyramids FC | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| El Zamalek | 1-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: El Masry (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
El Masry
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06 | Enppi Egypt League Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 01/06 | ZED FC Egypt League Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 25/05 | ZED FC Egypt League Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 20/05 | Al Ahly Cairo Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | Ceramica Cleopatra Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 27/04 | Smouha Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 22/04 | Enppi Egypt Division 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 11/04 | Pyramids FC Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 05/04 | El Zamalek Egypt Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 30/03 | El Gounah Egypt League Cup |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
Smouha
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05 | Pyramids FC Egypt Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 05/05 | El Zamalek Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 27/04 | El Masry Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 22/04 | Ceramica Cleopatra Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Al Ahly Cairo Egypt Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 07/04 | Enppi Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 07/03 | Modern Sport FC Egypt Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 01/03 | National Bank Egypt Division 1 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 23/02 | Al Ahly Cairo Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 16/02 | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in El Masry vs Smouha?
According to our model, the most likely result is a El Masry win (62%). Probabilities: El Masry 62%, draw 27%, Smouha 11%.
How many goals are expected in El Masry vs Smouha?
The model expects 2.06 goals (El Masry 1.55 · Smouha 0.5), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in El Masry vs Smouha?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.